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Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
tor. 22. okt. 2026
VS
04:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Al Gharafa host Al Ahli in the QSL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Al Gharafa have averaged 1.44 scored and 2.03 conceded recently, against Al Ahli's 1.55 scored and 1.94 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Gharafa slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18. mars 2026, ending 1:4. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.56) point toward Al Ahli. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Al Gharafa
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Al Ahli
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Al Gharafa

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Al Gharafa come out ahead of Al Ahli on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Gharafa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79%
Al Gharafa Rent bur 15%
Al Ahli Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Al Gharafa Al Ahli
Kamper Spilt 34 31
Seire 11 10
Uavgjort 4 6
Tap 19 15
Mål Scoret 1.44 1.55
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.03 1.94
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. mars 2026 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli
1:4
25. okt. 2025 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa
1:3
22. jan. 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli
2:0
18. aug. 2024 QSL
Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa
1:0
8. mai 2024 Emir Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Al Gharafa 41 / 100
Al Ahli 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Al Gharafa Al Ahli

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Gharafa scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Al Gharafa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Al Gharafa VS Al Ahli
1.5 Mål scoret 1.13
2 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 7

Al Ahli

(Away)
29 Sept
Al Markhiya
1 : 1
Al Ahli
20 Sept
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Shahaniya
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)