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Al-Ittihad vs Al-Tilal

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2014/2015
fre. 2. jan. 2015
VS
00:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Al-Ittihad enters this Division 1 2014/2015 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Al-Ittihad averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Al-Tilal shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Al-Ittihad, 0 wins for Al-Tilal, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.10.21 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Al-Ittihad and 1.00 for Al-Tilal, suggesting the primary value lies in the Al-Ittihad double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Al-Ittihad
25%
Uavgjort
15%
Al-Tilal
Uavgjort-prognose: 25% Favoritt: Al-Ittihad

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

91% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Al-Ittihad har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Al-Tilal.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 61%
Over 2.5 Mål 43%
Over 3.5 Mål 26%
Over 4.5 Mål 13%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 37%
Al-Ittihad Rent bur 23%
Al-Tilal Rent bur 12%
Mål 1. omgang 55%
Mål 2. omgang 58%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Al-Ittihad Al-Tilal
Kamper Spilt 27 19
Seire 7 6
Uavgjort 8 3
Tap 12 10
Mål Scoret 0.81 0.95
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.07 1.58

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

07.10.21 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Al-Ittihad
0:3
02.01.15 Division 1
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Tilal
0:0
29.08.14 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Al-Ittihad
1:2
15.03.14 Division 1
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Tilal
1:0
06.03.14 Division 1
Al-Tilal vs Al-Ittihad
1:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Al-Ittihad

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Al-Tilal

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Al-Ittihad 59 / 100
Al-Tilal 16 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Al-Ittihad Al-Tilal

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Al-Ittihad Win (1)
Sekundærtips Al-Ittihad & Under 3.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Al-Ittihad is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Al-Ittihad 66%
Al-Tilal 12%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Al-Tilal will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Al-Ittihad's attacks.

Al-Ittihad 57%
Al-Tilal 16%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Al-Ittihad to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Al-Ittihad 60%
Al-Tilal 15%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Al-Ittihad vary their attacking width.

Al-Ittihad 63%
Al-Tilal 14%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Al-Tilal, allowing Al-Ittihad's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Al-Ittihad 54%
Al-Tilal 17%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Al-Ittihad, while Al-Tilal takes risks to salvage a result.

Al-Ittihad 69%
Al-Tilal 17%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Al-Ittihad angriper → ← angriper Al-Tilal

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Al-Ittihad have found the net in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Al-Tilal have conceded at least one goal in 58% of their last 19 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.

Al-Ittihad remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Al-Tilal suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

29 Poeng siste 5 21
0.38 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
0.75 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahli16103329:1533
2Al-Saqr1795328:1632
3Al-Shaab Ibb1676322:1127
4Al-Tilal1564521:1822
5Al Wahda1656516:1521
6Al Oruba1756618:1821
7Al-Ittihad1570818:2421
8Al Yarmuk1555520:1420
9Al Hilal1655626:2120
10Al Shula1648418:2120
11Fhman1654713:1719
12Al Shabab Hadramaut1445515:1817
13Shabab Al Jeel1744914:2616
14Al-Wahda Aden1423911:359