Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Al-Ittihad enters this Division 1 2014/2015 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Al-Ittihad averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Al-Tilal shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Al-Ittihad, 0 wins for Al-Tilal, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.10.21 ended in a 0:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Al-Ittihad and 1.00 for Al-Tilal, suggesting the primary value lies in the Al-Ittihad double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Al-Ittihad har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Al-Tilal.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Al-Ittihad | Al-Tilal |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 19 |
| Seire | 7 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 3 |
| Tap | 12 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.07 | 1.58 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Al-Ittihad
Al-Tilal
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Al-Ittihad is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Al-Tilal will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Al-Ittihad's attacks.
Expect Al-Ittihad to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Al-Ittihad vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Al-Tilal, allowing Al-Ittihad's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Al-Ittihad, while Al-Tilal takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Al-Ittihad have found the net in 56% of their last 27 matches.
Al-Tilal have conceded at least one goal in 58% of their last 19 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
Al-Ittihad remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Al-Tilal suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahli | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:15 | 33 |
| 2 | Al-Saqr | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 3 | Al-Shaab Ibb | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al-Tilal | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:18 | 22 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Al Oruba | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:18 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ittihad | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Al Yarmuk | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Al Hilal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Shula | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Fhman | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Al Shabab Hadramaut | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Shabab Al Jeel | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14:26 | 16 |
| 14 | Al-Wahda Aden | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:35 | 9 |