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Aldershot vs Brighton U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

9'
Bytte
Simmonds F. Inn: Mackley C.
Ut: Simmonds F.
63'
Bytte
Abrahams T. Inn: Ghandour H.
Ut: Abrahams T.
63'
Bytte
Barrett J. Inn: Hill R.
Ut: Barrett J.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 1-2, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Aldershot
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Brighton U21
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Brighton U21 haven't matched Aldershot's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aldershot have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 10%
Over 4.5 Mål 5%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Aldershot Rent bur 14%
Brighton U21 Rent bur 19%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aldershot Brighton U21
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 15 10
Uavgjort 3 8
Tap 12 12
Mål Scoret 1.43 1.53
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.3 1.43
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.72 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12. aug. 2025 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Brighton U21
1:2
5. nov. 2024 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Brighton U21
2:3

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Aldershot Sammenlign

Toppscorer Ghandour H.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.55
Snitt xA / kamp 0.36

Brighton U21 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nti S.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aldershot 35 / 100
Brighton U21 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aldershot Brighton U21

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips BRI Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aldershot found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Brighton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Aldershot has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Aldershot VS Brighton U21
0.63 Mål scoret 2
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 80%
0% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
08 Aug
Boston United
0 : 1
Aldershot
01 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2
Aldershot
25 Jul
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Aldershot
21 Jul
Aldershot
1 : 3
Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Aldershot
2 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Brighton U21

(Away)
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1
Brighton U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0
Manchester United U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3
Brighton U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0
West Ham U21
24 Apr
Ipswich U21
1 : 2
Brighton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)