Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
1'
1'
Ligendza S.
75'
75'
Youmbi D.
79'
79'
Ashton O.
Kampsammendrag
Alfreton in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfreton.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Gainsborough have won more games recently than Alfreton.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- Alfreton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 69%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.6%
Alfreton Rent bur 16%
Gainsborough Rent bur 68%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Alfreton | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 8 | 9 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 8 |
| Tap | 13 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 1 | 1.21 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
11. aug. 2026 NPL Premier Division
Alfreton vs Gainsborough
2:1
18. nov. 2025 FA Trophy
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
1:2
27. jan. 2018 National League North
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
2:1
9. sep. 2017 National League North
Alfreton vs Gainsborough
4:1
4. feb. 2017 National League North
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
0:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Alfreton Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ligendza S.
1 Mål Assister Youmbi D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.72
Snitt xA / kamp 0.47
Gainsborough Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ashton O.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.36
Snitt xA / kamp 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Alfreton 36 / 100
Gainsborough 32 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Alfreton Gainsborough
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Gainsborough Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Alfreton found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Gainsborough has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Difficult form: Gainsborough registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Alfreton VS Gainsborough
0.5 Mål scoret 0.88
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alfreton
(Home) 11 Aug
Alfreton
2 : 1 Gainsborough
08 Aug
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0 Alfreton
28 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 4 Mansfield
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1 Rotherham
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Alfreton
2 : 1 Gainsborough
28 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 4 Mansfield
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1 Rotherham
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
14 Jul
Alfreton
1 : 2 Boston United
Page 1 of 4
Gainsborough
(Away) 11 Aug
Alfreton
2 : 1 Gainsborough
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0 Workington
01 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Bradford PA
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0 Doncaster
21 Jul
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Halifax
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
Alfreton
2 : 1 Gainsborough
18 Jul
Basford Utd.
1 : 1 Gainsborough
25 Apr
Hyde
3 : 1 Gainsborough
11 Apr
Lancaster
3 : 0 Gainsborough
03 Apr
Stockton
1 : 0 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Avro | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ashton United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Warrington Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ilkeston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 7 | Redcar Athletic | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Warrington Rylands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Guiseley | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Curzon Ashton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 12 | Alfreton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Whitby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 14 | Lancaster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | United of Manchester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 18 | Hyde | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 19 | Stockton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Workington | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 21 | Quorn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 0 |
| 22 | Bamber Bridge | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
