Sport Picks
Alfreton vs Gainsborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
NPL Premier Division 
Kamphendelser
1'
1'
Ligendza S.
75'
75'
Youmbi D.
79'
79'
Ashton O.
Kampsammendrag
Alfreton in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alfreton.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
31%
39%
30%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Gainsborough average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Alfreton's 1.26.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
- Alfreton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 81.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 25%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 33.6%
Alfreton Rent bur 11%
Gainsborough Rent bur 68%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Alfreton | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 27 | 29 |
| Seire | 10 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 6 |
| Tap | 12 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.48 | 1.48 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.69 | 1.81 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
11. aug. 2026 NPL Premier Division
Alfreton vs Gainsborough
2:1
18. nov. 2025 FA Trophy
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
1:2
27. jan. 2018 National League North
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
2:1
9. sep. 2017 National League North
Alfreton vs Gainsborough
4:1
4. feb. 2017 National League North
Gainsborough vs Alfreton
0:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Alfreton Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ligendza S.
1 Mål Assister Youmbi D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.3
Snitt xA / kamp 0.84
Gainsborough Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ashton O.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.65
Snitt xA / kamp 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Alfreton 30 / 100
Gainsborough 41 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Alfreton Gainsborough
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Gainsborough Win (2)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Alfreton found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).
Gainsborough has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Alfreton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Måltrender
Alfreton VS Gainsborough
1.25 Mål scoret 2.38
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alfreton
(Home) 06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1 Alfreton
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1 Shifnal Town
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Alfreton
1 : 0 United of Manchester
29 Sept
Alfreton
1 : 0 Guiseley
26 Sept
Alfreton
2 : 1 Shifnal Town
05 Sept
Alfreton
0 : 2 Stratford
29 Aug
Alfreton
1 : 2 Warrington Rylands
Page 1 of 4
Gainsborough
(Away) 06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Whitby
2 : 6 Gainsborough
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Avro | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 33:19 | 25 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24:11 | 22 |
| 5 | Workington | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Alfreton | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Warrington Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Bury FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 11 | Gainsborough | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16:24 | 16 |
| 13 | Hyde | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Ashton United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Whitby | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 16 | Stockton | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 22:23 | 10 |
| 18 | Quorn | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:27 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
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Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
