Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alianza vs UMECIT

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Javier Cruz, Panama City
fre. 14. aug. 2026
VS
12:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alianza have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against UMECIT's 1.48 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Alianza slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 25. juli 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Alianza. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Alianza
33%
Uavgjort
27%
UMECIT
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Alianza

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Alianza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alianza a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Alianza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 79.8%
Alianza Rent bur 16%
UMECIT Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Alianza UMECIT
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 12 8
Uavgjort 12 11
Tap 4 8
Mål Scoret 1.64 1.48
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.32 1.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.69 1.50
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25. juli 2026 LPF
Alianza vs UMECIT
0:0
4. apr. 2026 LPF
UMECIT vs Alianza
1:1
31. jan. 2026 LPF
Alianza vs UMECIT
2:1
9. nov. 2025 LPF
UMECIT vs Alianza
1:3
19. aug. 2025 LPF
Alianza vs UMECIT
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Alianza 39 / 100
UMECIT 26 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Alianza UMECIT

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips ALI Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Alianza's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

UMECIT has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alianza stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Alianza VS UMECIT
1.75 Mål scoret 1.5
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alianza

(Home)
06 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Alianza
01 Aug
Arabe Unido
0 : 1
Alianza
25 Jul
Alianza
0 : 0
UMECIT
23 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 2
Alianza
17 May
Veraguas
2 : 3
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

UMECIT

(Away)
06 Aug
UMECIT
1 : 2
Olimpia
02 Aug
Tauro
1 : 1
UMECIT
30 Jul
UMECIT
1 : 2
Saprissa
25 Jul
Alianza
0 : 0
UMECIT
16 May
Plaza Amador
3 : 0
UMECIT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Diriangen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Plaza Amador 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Luis Angel Firpo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Xelaju 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Esteli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Herediano 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
5 Antigua 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Saprissa 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Alianza 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 UMECIT 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Municipal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Cartagines 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FAS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Verdes 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)