Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
2'
2'
Cervera G.
8'
8'
Gutierrez S.
11'
11'
Centurion F.
Kampsammendrag
The Torneo Federal game between Alvarado and Germinal finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvarado.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Alvarado
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Alvarado haven't matched Germinal's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Alvarado's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 85%
Over 1.5 Mål 44%
Over 2.5 Mål 24%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 19.6%
Alvarado Rent bur 68%
Germinal Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Alvarado | Germinal |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 28 |
| Seire | 9 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 12 | 9 |
| Tap | 7 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 0.64 | 0.96 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 0.38 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
5. juli 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Germinal
5:0
3. mai 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Alvarado
1:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Alvarado Sammenlign
Toppscorer Cervera G.
1 Mål Assister Gutierrez S.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.06
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69
Germinal Sammenlign
Snitt xG / kamp 0.35
Snitt xA / kamp 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Alvarado 95 / 100
Germinal 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Alvarado Germinal
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips ALV Win (1)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Alvarado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Germinal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Alvarado found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (28 games).
Måltrender
Alvarado VS Germinal
1.5 Mål scoret 0.38
0.38 Mål sluppet inn 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvarado
(Home) 08 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 2 Alvarado
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
28 Jun
Villa Mitre
1 : 0 Alvarado
20 Jun
Alvarado
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
20 Jun
Alvarado
1 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
07 Jun
Alvarado
2 : 0 Sol de Mayo
24 May
Alvarado
2 : 0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
10 May
Alvarado
3 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 3
Germinal
(Away) 08 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 1 Germinal
02 Aug
Germinal
2 : 1 Juventud U.U.
26 Jul
Guillermo Brown
2 : 0 Germinal
12 Jul
Germinal
0 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 1 Germinal
26 Jul
Guillermo Brown
2 : 0 Germinal
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
14 Jun
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Germinal
30 May
Kimberley
1 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
