Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Paulista A4 2019 encounter between Andradina Esporte Clube and Assisense promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Andradina Esporte Clube averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Assisense shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Andradina Esporte Clube, 1 wins for Assisense, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.08.19 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Andradina Esporte Clube and 1.18 for Assisense, suggesting the primary value lies in the Assisense double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Andradina Esporte Clube har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Assisense.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Andradina Esporte Clube | Assisense |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 31 |
| Seire | 10 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 9 |
| Tap | 17 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.1 | 1.32 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.1 | 1.42 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Andradina Esporte Clube
Assisense
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Andradina Esporte Clube have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Assisense have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.
Andradina Esporte Clube remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Assisense suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernandopolis | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Itapirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Vocem | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Francana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Assisense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maua FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Amparo SP | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 3 | AA Itarare | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | XV de Jau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:17 | 5 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Tupa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Catanduvense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Uniao Suzano | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:20 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Matonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:18 | 5 |
| 4 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:11 | 4 |