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Andradina Esporte Clube vs Assisense

Brasil Brasil

Paulista A4 2019
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Paulista A4 2019 encounter between Andradina Esporte Clube and Assisense promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Andradina Esporte Clube averages 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Assisense shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Andradina Esporte Clube, 1 wins for Assisense, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.08.19 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Andradina Esporte Clube and 1.18 for Assisense, suggesting the primary value lies in the Assisense double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

39%
Andradina Esporte Clube
21%
Uavgjort
40%
Assisense
Uavgjort-prognose: 21% Favoritt: Assisense

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

69% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Andradina Esporte Clube har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Assisense.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.42 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 72%
Over 2.5 Mål 46%
Over 3.5 Mål 28%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 51%
Andradina Esporte Clube Rent bur 20%
Assisense Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 65%
Mål 2. omgang 68%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Andradina Esporte Clube Assisense
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 10 10
Uavgjort 3 9
Tap 17 12
Mål Scoret 1.1 1.32
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.1 1.42

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11.08.19 Paulista A4
Andradina Esporte Clube vs Assisense
1:2
06.07.19 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Andradina Esporte Clube
0:2
26.05.18 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Andradina Esporte Clube
1:1
07.04.18 Paulista A4
Andradina Esporte Clube vs Assisense
4:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Andradina Esporte Clube

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Assisense

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Andradina Esporte Clube 39 / 100
Assisense 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Andradina Esporte Clube Assisense

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Assisense or Draw (X2)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Andradina Esporte Clube 43%
Assisense 32%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Andradina Esporte Clube 37%
Assisense 42%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Andradina Esporte Clube 39%
Assisense 40%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Andradina Esporte Clube 41%
Assisense 38%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Andradina Esporte Clube 35%
Assisense 44%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Andradina Esporte Clube 45%
Assisense 46%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Andradina Esporte Clube angriper → ← angriper Assisense

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Andradina Esporte Clube have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Assisense have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.75 goals per match.

Andradina Esporte Clube remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Assisense suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

33 Poeng siste 5 39
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.25
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fernandopolis63309:612
2Itapirense62317:69
3Catanduva FC61417:67
4Vocem60246:112
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente SP63305:112
2Francana62226:38
3Assisense61322:56
4Andradina Esporte Clube61235:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maua FC63307:312
2Amparo SP62315:39
3AA Itarare61236:95
4XV de Jau61233:65
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marilia633013:512
2Rio Branco SP62229:68
3Guarulhos62139:107
4Jacarei FC61237:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paulista632114:411
2Tupa632110:511
3Catanduvense63219:511
4Uniao Suzano60061:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo SP633011:212
2Sao Jose EC624016:210
3Matonense61233:185
4Jose Bonifacio EC61143:114