Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antigua vs Marathon

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
fre. 14. aug. 2026
VS
02:00 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the CONCACAF Central American Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Antigua have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Marathon's 0.63 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Antigua have won 0 to Marathon's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 4. nov. 2020, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Marathon to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%
Antigua
44%
Uavgjort
20%
Marathon
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

71% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Antigua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Antigua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.4%
Antigua Rent bur 20%
Marathon Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Antigua Marathon
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 11 10
Uavgjort 7 9
Tap 10 9
Mål Scoret 1.38 0.63
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.5 1
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.38 0.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. nov. 2020 CONCACAF League
Marathon vs Antigua
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Antigua 36 / 100
Marathon 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Antigua Marathon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips MAR Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Antigua found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Marathon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Antigua stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Antigua VS Marathon
1.38 Mål scoret 0.63
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
05 Aug
Antigua
0 : 2
Esteli
30 Jul
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Antigua
25 Jul
Antigua
3 : 1
Marquense
03 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 0
Antigua
30 Apr
Antigua
3 : 2
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

Marathon

(Away)
04 Aug
Marathon
1 : 0
Atletico Independiente
31 Jul
Herediano
0 : 0
Marathon
24 May
Motagua
1 : 0
Marathon
22 May
Marathon
1 : 1
Motagua
19 May
Real Espana
1 : 1
Marathon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Diriangen 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 Plaza Amador 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Luis Angel Firpo 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Xelaju 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Esteli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Marathon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Herediano 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
5 Antigua 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Saprissa 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Alianza 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 UMECIT 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
5 Deportivo Mixco 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motagua 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Municipal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Cartagines 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 FAS 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Verdes 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)