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APIA Leichhardt vs Melbourne Victory - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Lambert Park, Sydney
ons. 19. aug. 2026
0 - 1
09:30 a.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

66'
Bytte
Lino F. Inn: Shillington H.
Ut: Lino F.
70'
Bytte
Segreto J. Inn: Ortiz P.
Ut: Segreto J.
78'
Bytte
Clarismario Inn: Sawyer H.
Ut: Clarismario

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
APIA Leichhardt
40%
Uavgjort
29%
Melbourne Victory
Uavgjort-prognose: 40% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

66% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Melbourne Victory haven't matched APIA Leichhardt's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • APIA Leichhardt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Melbourne Victory, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
APIA Leichhardt Rent bur 19%
Melbourne Victory Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk APIA Leichhardt Melbourne Victory
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 20 14
Uavgjort 4 7
Tap 5 7
Mål Scoret 2.14 1.79
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.04
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.46 1.28
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

19. aug. 2026 Australia Cup
APIA Leichhardt vs Melbourne Victory
0:1
21. aug. 2018 Australia Cup
APIA Leichhardt vs Melbourne Victory
3:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

APIA Leichhardt Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.12
Snitt xA / kamp 0.73

Melbourne Victory Sammenlign

Toppscorer Sawyer H.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.16
Snitt xA / kamp 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

APIA Leichhardt 32 / 100
Melbourne Victory 28 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
APIA Leichhardt Melbourne Victory

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

APIA Leichhardt's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Melbourne Victory let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

APIA Leichhardt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

APIA Leichhardt VS Melbourne Victory
2.63 Mål scoret 1.43
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.29
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

APIA Leichhardt

(Home)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2
St. George City
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

Melbourne Victory

(Away)
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2
Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -