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Brasil

Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019

Jacobina U20

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This Copa Sao Paulo de juniores 2019 encounter between Aquidauanense U20 and Jacobina U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Aquidauanense U20 averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Jacobina U20 shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Aquidauanense U20, 1 wins for Jacobina U20, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.01.19 ended in a 1:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.60 for Aquidauanense U20 and 1.49 for Jacobina U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jacobina U20 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

36%

Aquidauanense U20

16%

Uavgjort

48%

Jacobina U20

Uavgjort-prognose: 16% Favoritt: Jacobina U20

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet

Aquidauanense U20 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Jacobina U20.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.60 vs 1.49 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%

Over 1.5 Mål 74%

Over 2.5 Mål 52%

Over 3.5 Mål 31%

Over 4.5 Mål 16%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 48%

Aquidauanense U20 Rent bur 16%

Jacobina U20 Rent bur 10%

Mål 1. omgang 67%

Mål 2. omgang 70%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Aquidauanense U20	Jacobina U20
Kamper Spilt	14	31
Seire	3	10
Uavgjort	4	3
Tap	7	18
Mål Scoret	1.5	1.1
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.79	1.71

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

10.01.19 Copinha

Aquidauanense U20 vs Jacobina U20

Ballbesittelse: 58% - 44% Kort: 2 - 4

1:4

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Aquidauanense U20

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Jacobina U20

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Aquidauanense U20 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Henrique

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0

Snitt xA / kamp 0

Jacobina U20 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Oliveira Dourado S. L.

2 Mål

Assister Joao

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.71

Snitt xA / kamp 1.04

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aquidauanense U20 36 / 100

Jacobina U20 45 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Aquidauanense U20 Jacobina U20

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Jacobina U20 or Draw (X2)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Draw (HT)

BTTS Prognose No (NG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Aquidauanense U20 40%

Jacobina U20 38%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Aquidauanense U20 34%

Jacobina U20 50%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Aquidauanense U20 36%

Jacobina U20 48%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Aquidauanense U20 38%

Jacobina U20 46%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Aquidauanense U20 32%

Jacobina U20 53%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Aquidauanense U20 41%

Jacobina U20 55%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Aquidauanense U20 angriper → ← angriper Jacobina U20

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aquidauanense U20 have found the net in 57% of their last 14 matches.

Jacobina U20 have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 31 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Aquidauanense U20 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Jacobina U20 suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

13 Poeng siste 5 33

0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.88

0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Andradina U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Ponte Preta U20	3	1	2	0	7:3	5
3	Ceara U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
4	Ceilandia U20	3	0	0	3	2:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Jose (PA) U20	3	2	0	1	3:2	6
2	Rio Preto EC U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Chapecoense-SC U20	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	Penapolense U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	3	2	1	0	6:1	7
2	Marilia AC U20	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
3	Linense U20	3	1	1	1	7:4	4
4	Babacu U20	3	0	0	3	1:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vocem U20	3	2	1	0	4:0	7
2	Sport Recife U20	3	2	1	0	3:0	7
3	Vitoria da Conquista U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1
4	Porto Calvense U20	3	0	1	2	1:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mirassol U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	Legiao U20	3	1	1	1	2:1	4
3	Atletico GO U20	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
4	Osvaldo Cruz U20	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletico-PR U20	3	3	0	0	11:2	9
2	Comercial U20	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
3	CSP U20	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Tupa U20	3	0	1	2	4:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	3	2	1	0	11:2	7
2	Sao Paulo U20	3	2	1	0	12:4	7
3	Serra U20	3	1	0	2	3:6	3
4	Holanda U20	3	0	0	3	2:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Claro U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Velo Clube U20	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
3	Nautico U20	3	1	0	2	6:5	3
4	Marilia FC U20	3	0	0	3	3:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cuiaba U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
2	Botafogo RJ U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Francana U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Horizonte U20	3	0	2	1	2:3	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Atlantico EC U20	3	2	1	6:3	6
2	America MG U20	3	2	1	6:5	6
3	Sao Carlos U20	3	2	1	5:5	6
4	Criciuma U20	3	0	3	4:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional U20	3	3	0	0	10:1	9
2	Votuporanguense U20	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
3	Batatais U20	3	1	0	2	3:3	3
4	Trem U20	3	0	1	2	1:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guarani U20	3	1	2	0	8:2	5
2	CA Taquaritinga U20	3	1	2	0	7:5	5
3	Bahia U20	3	1	2	0	6:4	5
4	Boavista U20	3	0	0	3	3:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	3	2	1	3:1	6
2	Galvez U20	3	2	1	4:3	6
3	Piracicaba U20	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Capivariano U20	3	1	2	4:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportiva Ferroviaria U20	3	3	0	6:2	9
2	Vitoria U20	3	2	1	3:2	6
3	Novorizontino U20	3	1	2	4:4	3
4	Uniao Barbarense U20	3	0	3	1:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Trindade U20	3	3	0	6:0	9
2	Flamengo RJ U20	3	2	1	8:1	6
3	River-PI U20	3	1	2	2:7	3
4	Jaguariuna U20	3	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Figueirense U20	3	3	0	9:3	9
2	Botafogo SP U20	3	2	1	9:3	6
3	Itapirense U20	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	CRB U20	3	0	3	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	3	2	1	0	9:5	7
2	Ituano U20	3	2	1	0	8:4	7
3	Sinop FC U20	3	1	0	2	3:7	3
4	Capital FC U20	3	0	0	3	5:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Red Bull Brasil U20	3	1	2	0	5:2	5
2	CA Porto U20	3	1	2	0	5:4	5
3	Vila Nova FC U20	3	1	0	2	6:9	3
4	Paulista U20	3	0	2	1	3:4	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Primavera EC U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Fortaleza U20	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
3	Sertaozinho U20	3	1	0	2	7:8	3
4	Queimadense U20	3	0	0	3	2:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Visao Celeste U20	3	2	0	1	5:3	6
2	Desportivo U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Remo U20	3	1	1	1	1:1	4
4	Uberlandia U20	3	1	0	2	1:3	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio U20	3	2	1	0	12:3	7
2	Osasco Sporting U20	3	2	0	1	5:4	6
3	Lagarto U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Sao Raimundo RR U20	3	0	0	3	1:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSA U20	3	2	0	1	3:3	6
2	EC Sao Bernardo U20	3	1	2	0	5:2	5
3	Sao Bernardo FC U20	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
4	ABC U20	3	0	1	2	3:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Osasco Audax U20	3	3	0	7:0	9
2	Fluminense U20	3	2	1	9:2	6
3	Parnahyba U20	3	1	2	3:10	3
4	Sete de Dourados U20	3	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Londrina U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Taboao da Serra U20	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
3	Elosport U20	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
4	Confianca U20	3	0	1	2	1:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Caetano U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Uniao Mogi U20	3	1	2	0	1:0	5
3	Santos U20	3	1	1	1	6:3	4
4	Sergipe U20	3	0	0	3	2:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coritiba U20	3	2	1	0	7:5	7
2	Flamengo SP U20	3	2	0	1	5:2	6
3	Guarulhos U20	3	1	0	2	4:5	3
4	Madureira U20	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vasco U20	3	2	1	0	5:1	7
2	Tubarao U20	3	1	1	1	6:2	4
3	Taubate U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Carajas U20	3	0	1	2	2:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manthiqueira U20	3	2	1	0	6:4	7
2	EC Juventude U20	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Real Ariquemes U20	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
4	Bragantino U20	3	0	1	2	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG U20	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Agua Santa U20	3	1	2	6:6	3
3	Aquidauanense U20	3	1	2	5:8	3
4	Jacobina U20	3	1	2	6:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avai U20	3	2	0	1	11:4	6
2	CA Juventus U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Internacional de Limeira U20	3	1	1	1	5:11	4
4	America RN U20	3	1	0	2	5:6	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Goias U20	3	2	1	0	8:1	7
2	Nacional SP U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
3	Sao Bento U20	3	1	0	2	1:6	3
4	Santa Cruz U20	3	0	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa U20	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Volta Redonda U20	3	2	0	1	2:1	6
3	Parana U20	3	0	2	1	1:2	2
4	Santo Andre U20	3	0	1	2	2:5	1