Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal vs Brighton

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Emirates Stadium, London
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

34'
Coppola D.
46'
Bytte
Kostoulas C. Inn: Ayari Y.
Ut: Kostoulas C.
57' Event
Nwaneri E.
Assist: Lewis-Skelly M.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 2-0, with Arsenal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Arsenal
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Brighton
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Arsenal

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal come out ahead of Brighton on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Arsenal's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Arsenal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Arsenal Rent bur 14%
Brighton Rent bur 11%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Arsenal Brighton
Kamper Spilt 28 27
Seire 18 13
Uavgjort 3 5
Tap 7 9
Mål Scoret 1.61 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.86 1.11
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.25 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

4. mars 2026 Premier League
Brighton vs Arsenal
0:1
27. des. 2025 Premier League
Arsenal vs Brighton
2:1
29. okt. 2025 EFL Cup
Arsenal vs Brighton
2:0
4. jan. 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Arsenal
1:1
31. aug. 2024 Premier League
Arsenal vs Brighton
1:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Arsenal Sammenlign

Toppscorer Nwaneri E.
1 Mål
Assister Saka B.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.96
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Brighton Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Arsenal 41 / 100
Brighton 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Arsenal Brighton

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Arsenal found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Brighton has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Arsenal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Arsenal VS Brighton
2.13 Mål scoret 2
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal

(Home)
31 Aug
Aston Villa
0 : 1
Arsenal
21 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0
Coventry
16 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0
Manchester City
12 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 1
Como
09 Aug
Arsenal
2 : 3
Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3
Brighton
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Tromso
23 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Aston Villa
20 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Brighton
15 Aug
Brighton
1 : 0
Bologna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2