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Assam Rifles vs Hyderabad

India India

Durand Cup 2021
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Hyderabad is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Assam Rifles, backed by a win probability of 61%. Assam Rifles averages 0.7 goals scored and 4.0 conceded in recent matches. Hyderabad shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Assam Rifles, 1 wins for Hyderabad, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.09.21 ended in a 0:5 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.79 for Assam Rifles and 0.86 for Hyderabad, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hyderabad double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

21%
Assam Rifles
18%
Uavgjort
61%
Hyderabad
Uavgjort-prognose: 18% Favoritt: Hyderabad

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

88% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Assam Rifles har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Hyderabad.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.79 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 63%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 90%
Over 1.5 Mål 89%
Over 2.5 Mål 63%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 19%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 46%
Assam Rifles Rent bur 25%
Hyderabad Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 80%
Mål 2. omgang 85%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Assam Rifles Hyderabad
Kamper Spilt 6 28
Seire 0 5
Uavgjort 0 6
Tap 6 17
Mål Scoret 0.67 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 4 2

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12.09.21 Durand Cup
Assam Rifles vs Hyderabad
0:5

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Assam Rifles

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Hyderabad

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Assam Rifles Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0
Snitt xA / kamp 0

Hyderabad Sammenlign

Toppscorer Chhangte L.
2 Mål
Assister Rabeeh A K A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 0.57
Snitt xA / kamp 0.35

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Assam Rifles 24 / 100
Hyderabad 57 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Assam Rifles Hyderabad

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Hyderabad Win (2)
Sekundærtips Hyderabad & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Draw (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Hyderabad will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Assam Rifles 23%
Hyderabad 49%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Assam Rifles will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Hyderabad's early runs.

Assam Rifles 20%
Hyderabad 64%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Hyderabad to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Assam Rifles tries to push forward.

Assam Rifles 21%
Hyderabad 61%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments will see Hyderabad increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Assam Rifles 22%
Hyderabad 58%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Assam Rifles's defense, opening up opportunities for Hyderabad's forward line.

Assam Rifles 19%
Hyderabad 67%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect Hyderabad to manage the closing stages, while Assam Rifles searches for late drama.

Assam Rifles 24%
Hyderabad 70%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Assam Rifles angriper → ← angriper Hyderabad

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Assam Rifles have found the net in 50% of their last 6 matches.

Hyderabad have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Assam Rifles remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Hyderabad suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

0 Poeng siste 5 21
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 0.63
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.38

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