Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aston Villa U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

0 - 4
Slutt
Exeter U23 Logo

Exeter U23

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

9' Event
Wilson L.
60' Event
Dean W.
61' Event
Wilson L.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

Exeter U23 in this Premier League Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

31%
Aston Villa U23
39%
Uavgjort
30%
Exeter U23
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Exeter U23 have won more games recently than Aston Villa U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 48%
Over 4.5 Mål 22%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Aston Villa U23 Rent bur 12%
Exeter U23 Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aston Villa U23 Exeter U23
Kamper Spilt 32 29
Seire 10 13
Uavgjort 6 9
Tap 16 7
Mål Scoret 1.84 1.69
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.06 1.28
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.83 1.73
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

16. jan. 2020 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U23 vs Exeter U23
0:4
3. okt. 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Aston Villa U23
3:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Aston Villa U23 Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.41
Snitt xA / kamp 0.92

Exeter U23 Sammenlign

Toppscorer Wilson L.
2 Mål
Assister Dean W.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.57
Snitt xA / kamp 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aston Villa U23 30 / 100
Exeter U23 29 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aston Villa U23 Exeter U23

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Exeter U23 Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aston Villa U23 scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Exeter U23 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Exeter U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Aston Villa U23 VS Exeter U23
2 Mål scoret 1.33
2.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa U23

(Home)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 7

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
2 Reading U23 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
3 Colchester U23 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Swansea U23 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
2 Fulham U23 6 3 0 3 13:11 9
3 Watford U23 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Plymouth U23 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Hull City U23 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Scunthorpe U23 6 0 2 4 7:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Doncaster U23 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Aston Villa U23 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
4 Portsmouth U23 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Southampton U23 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Nottingham U23 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Wigan U23 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Huddersfield U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Sunderland U23 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
3 Burnley U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Crystal Palace U23 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 18:7 12
2 Wolves U23 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Leeds U23 6 0 3 3 5:14 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)