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Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Keys Park, Hednesford
ons. 28. okt. 2026
VS
07:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 3-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Birmingham W have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Aston Villa W have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.42. Past meetings favor Birmingham W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 21. nov. 2025, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.63, favoring Birmingham W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Aston Villa W
28%
Uavgjort
22%
Birmingham W
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: Aston Villa W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Birmingham W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aston Villa W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Birmingham W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birmingham W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Aston Villa W Rent bur 14%
Birmingham W Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Aston Villa W Birmingham W
Kamper Spilt 31 31
Seire 8 16
Uavgjort 7 3
Tap 16 12
Mål Scoret 1.42 2.29
Mål Sluppet Inn 2.13 1.52
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.94 1.63
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21. nov. 2025 Women's League Cup
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W
3:4
8. mai 2022 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W
0:1
14. nov. 2021 WSL
Birmingham W vs Aston Villa W
0:1
28. apr. 2021 WSL
Birmingham W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
14. nov. 2020 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Aston Villa W 48 / 100
Birmingham W 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Aston Villa W Birmingham W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Aston Villa W Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aston Villa W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Birmingham W let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aston Villa W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Aston Villa W VS Birmingham W
1.25 Mål scoret 1.5
1.75 Mål sluppet inn 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aston Villa W

(Home)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7

Birmingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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