Sport Picks
Ataka Vilnius vs FK Sirvena Birzai
Lithuania
Lithuanian Cup 
Kampsammendrag
FK Sirvena Birzai is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Ataka Vilnius, backed by a win probability of 60%. Ataka Vilnius averages 1.8 goals scored and 3.6 conceded in recent matches. FK Sirvena Birzai shows a form average of 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Ataka Vilnius, 0 wins for FK Sirvena Birzai, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.04.26 ended in a 4:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.40 for Ataka Vilnius and 2.30 for FK Sirvena Birzai, suggesting the primary value lies in the FK Sirvena Birzai double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Ataka Vilnius har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med FK Sirvena Birzai.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (2.40 vs 2.30 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 88%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Ataka Vilnius | FK Sirvena Birzai |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 5 | 2 |
| Seire | 2 | 0 |
| Uavgjort | 0 | 0 |
| Tap | 3 | 2 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.8 | 0 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 3.6 | 3 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Ataka Vilnius
FK Sirvena Birzai
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Ataka Vilnius Sammenlign
FK Sirvena Birzai Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
FK Sirvena Birzai will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Ataka Vilnius will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize FK Sirvena Birzai's early runs.
Expect FK Sirvena Birzai to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Ataka Vilnius tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see FK Sirvena Birzai increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Ataka Vilnius's defense, opening up opportunities for FK Sirvena Birzai's forward line.
Expect FK Sirvena Birzai to manage the closing stages, while Ataka Vilnius searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Ataka Vilnius have found the net in 80% of their last 5 matches.
FK Sirvena Birzai have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 2 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.
Ataka Vilnius remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
FK Sirvena Birzai suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning