Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Tercera Division - Group 17 2010/2011 encounter between Atletico Calatayud and Santa Isabel promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Atletico Calatayud averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Santa Isabel shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Atletico Calatayud, 0 wins for Santa Isabel, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.03.11 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.94 for Atletico Calatayud and 2.19 for Santa Isabel, suggesting the primary value lies in the Atletico Calatayud double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Atletico Calatayud har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Santa Isabel.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.94 vs 2.19 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Atletico Calatayud | Santa Isabel |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 34 | 33 |
| Seire | 10 | 6 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 9 |
| Tap | 19 | 18 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.21 | 0.94 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.82 | 1.45 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 3.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Atletico Calatayud
Santa Isabel
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Atletico Calatayud is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Santa Isabel will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Atletico Calatayud's attacks.
Expect Atletico Calatayud to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Atletico Calatayud vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Santa Isabel, allowing Atletico Calatayud's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Atletico Calatayud, while Santa Isabel takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Atletico Calatayud have found the net in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Santa Isabel have conceded at least one goal in 76% of their last 33 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.00 goals per match.
Atletico Calatayud remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Santa Isabel suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andorra CF | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86:33 | 84 |
| 2 | Zaragoza B | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 76:30 | 79 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 74:30 | 79 |
| 4 | Binefar | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 68:48 | 71 |
| 5 | SD Ejea | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 75:37 | 70 |
| 6 | UD Barbastro | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 54:48 | 61 |
| 7 | Atletico Calatayud | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:46 | 60 |
| 8 | Villanueva CF | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60:37 | 60 |
| 9 | Sabinanigo | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 60:43 | 60 |
| 10 | Atletico Monzon | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 49:34 | 58 |
| 11 | Valdefierro | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 12 | Tarazona | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 53:62 | 51 |
| 13 | Ebro | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 60:68 | 42 |
| 14 | CD Tauste | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 39:56 | 41 |
| 15 | Sarinena | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | 39 |
| 16 | Giner Torrero | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 40:76 | 38 |
| 17 | CD Altorricon | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 31:66 | 35 |
| 18 | UD Pomar | 38 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 34:72 | 35 |
| 19 | Santa Isabel | 38 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 42:86 | 28 |
| 20 | CD Mallen | 38 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 30:98 | 17 |