Sport Picks
Atletico Granadilla vs CD Santa Ursula
Spania
Tercera Division - Group 12 2014/2015 
Kampsammendrag
This Tercera Division - Group 12 2014/2015 encounter between Atletico Granadilla and CD Santa Ursula promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Atletico Granadilla averages 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded in recent matches. CD Santa Ursula shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Atletico Granadilla, 2 wins for CD Santa Ursula, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.03.16 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Atletico Granadilla and 0.86 for CD Santa Ursula, suggesting the primary value lies in the CD Santa Ursula double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Atletico Granadilla har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med CD Santa Ursula.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 0.86 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Atletico Granadilla | CD Santa Ursula |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 32 |
| Seire | 2 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 11 |
| Tap | 21 | 11 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.6 | 0.97 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.8 | 1.19 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Atletico Granadilla
CD Santa Ursula
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
CD Santa Ursula will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Atletico Granadilla will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize CD Santa Ursula's early runs.
Expect CD Santa Ursula to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Atletico Granadilla tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see CD Santa Ursula increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Atletico Granadilla's defense, opening up opportunities for CD Santa Ursula's forward line.
Expect CD Santa Ursula to manage the closing stages, while Atletico Granadilla searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Atletico Granadilla have found the net in 47% of their last 30 matches.
CD Santa Ursula have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.25 goals per match.
Atletico Granadilla remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
CD Santa Ursula suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mensajero | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 61:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 3 | CD Marino | 38 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 58:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Real Sporting San Jose | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 57:38 | 60 |
| 5 | Union Sur Yaiza | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 6 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:50 | 53 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 53:42 | 52 |
| 8 | Union Viera | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 61:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Arucas | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 46:52 | 50 |
| 10 | Ibarra | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 51:58 | 49 |
| 11 | El Cotillo | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:62 | 47 |
| 12 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 45:53 | 47 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Telde | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 15 | SD Tenisca | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 53:47 | 46 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 53:67 | 46 |
| 17 | Vera CD | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 55:68 | 45 |
| 18 | Estrella | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 49:45 | 44 |
| 19 | CD Laguna | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 45:58 | 44 |
| 20 | Atletico Victoria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:58 | 41 |