Sport Picks
Atletico Union Guimar vs Tenerife B
Spania
Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 
Kampsammendrag
Tenerife B is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Atletico Union Guimar, backed by a win probability of 64%. Atletico Union Guimar averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Tenerife B shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Atletico Union Guimar, 4 wins for Tenerife B, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.03.21 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.23 for Atletico Union Guimar and 1.55 for Tenerife B, suggesting the primary value lies in the Tenerife B double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Atletico Union Guimar har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Tenerife B.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.23 vs 1.55 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for bortelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 65%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Atletico Union Guimar | Tenerife B |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 32 |
| Seire | 2 | 14 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 4 |
| Tap | 19 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.86 | 1.75 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.07 | 1.66 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Atletico Union Guimar
Tenerife B
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Tenerife B will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Atletico Union Guimar will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Tenerife B's early runs.
Expect Tenerife B to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Atletico Union Guimar tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Tenerife B increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Atletico Union Guimar's defense, opening up opportunities for Tenerife B's forward line.
Expect Tenerife B to manage the closing stages, while Atletico Union Guimar searches for late drama.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Atletico Union Guimar have found the net in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Tenerife B have conceded at least one goal in 81% of their last 32 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.80 goals per match.
Atletico Union Guimar remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tenerife B suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 33 |
| 2 | Panaderia | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 32 |
| 3 | Las Palmas C | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26:22 | 30 |
| 4 | Gran Tarajal | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18:12 | 29 |
| 5 | Union Viera | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 26:30 | 26 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:17 | 24 |
| 7 | CD La Cuadra | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:30 | 24 |
| 8 | UD Guia | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 19 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 10 | Arucas | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mensajero | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:17 | 40 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:20 | 35 |
| 3 | Atletico Paso | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 28:15 | 33 |
| 4 | CD Buzanada | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 32 |
| 5 | Tenerife B | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 31 |
| 6 | CD Santa Ursula | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 22:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Vera CD | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 29 |
| 8 | Tacoronte | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Atletico Victoria | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16:30 | 20 |
| 10 | Atletico Union Guimar | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 19:34 | 14 |
| 11 | Ibarra | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10:33 | 10 |