Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Liga Pro encounter between Aucas and Tecnico U. promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Aucas averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Tecnico U. shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Aucas, 2 wins for Tecnico U., and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.03.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Aucas and 1.00 for Tecnico U., suggesting the primary value lies in the Aucas double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Aucas har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Tecnico U..
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.31 vs 1.00 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Aucas | Tecnico U. |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 28 |
| Seire | 14 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 4 |
| Tap | 8 | 16 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.52 | 0.86 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Aucas
Tecnico U.
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Aucas Sammenlign
Tecnico U. Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Aucas is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Tecnico U. will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Aucas's attacks.
Expect Aucas to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Aucas vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Tecnico U., allowing Aucas's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Aucas, while Tecnico U. takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Aucas have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Tecnico U. have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.
Aucas remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tecnico U. suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |