Sport Picks

New Zealand

National League 2024 Kiwitea Street

Cashmere Technical

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This National League 2024 encounter between Auckland City and Cashmere Technical promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Auckland City averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Cashmere Technical shows a form average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Auckland City, 0 wins for Cashmere Technical, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.10.24 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.78 for Auckland City and 2.90 for Cashmere Technical, suggesting the primary value lies in the Auckland City double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

52%

Auckland City

21%

Uavgjort

27%

Cashmere Technical

Uavgjort-prognose: 21% Favoritt: Auckland City

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

81% / Høy Sikkerhet

Auckland City har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Cashmere Technical.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.78 vs 2.90 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 74%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 88%

Over 1.5 Mål 92%

Over 2.5 Mål 74%

Over 3.5 Mål 44%

Over 4.5 Mål 22%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 66%

Auckland City Rent bur 10%

Cashmere Technical Rent bur 18%

Mål 1. omgang 83%

Mål 2. omgang 87%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Auckland City	Cashmere Technical
Kamper Spilt	30	28
Seire	18	10
Uavgjort	5	4
Tap	7	14
Mål Scoret	1.77	2.18
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.6	2.39
Forventede Mål (xG)	0.88	2.67
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	3.13	0.67

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

13.10.24 National League

Auckland City vs Cashmere Technical

Ballbesittelse: 47% - 50% Kort: 0 - 1

1:1

14.10.23 National League

Auckland City vs Cashmere Technical

Ballbesittelse: 48% - 53% Kort: 2 - 3

3:1

08.10.22 National League

Auckland City vs Cashmere Technical

Ballbesittelse: 46% - 53% Kort: 1 - 2

2:0

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Auckland City

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Cashmere Technical

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)

Angrepsstil Holde på ballen

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Auckland City Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A

0 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.68

Snitt xA / kamp 0.44

Cashmere Technical Sammenlign

Toppscorer Taguchi Y.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 2.43

Snitt xA / kamp 1.48

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Auckland City 49 / 100

Cashmere Technical 28 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Auckland City Cashmere Technical

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Auckland City or Draw (1X)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Auckland City is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Auckland City 57%

Cashmere Technical 22%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Cashmere Technical will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Auckland City's attacks.

Auckland City 49%

Cashmere Technical 28%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Auckland City to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Auckland City 52%

Cashmere Technical 27%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Auckland City vary their attacking width.

Auckland City 55%

Cashmere Technical 26%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Cashmere Technical, allowing Auckland City's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Auckland City 47%

Cashmere Technical 30%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Auckland City, while Cashmere Technical takes risks to salvage a result.

Auckland City 60%

Cashmere Technical 31%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Auckland City angriper → ← angriper Cashmere Technical

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Auckland City have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Cashmere Technical have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.67 goals per match.

Auckland City remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Cashmere Technical suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

59 Poeng siste 5 34

0.88 Forventede mål (xG) 2.67

3.13 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birkenhead	9	6	2	1	23:16	20
2	Auckland City	9	6	1	2	20:10	19
3	Western Springs	9	6	0	3	25:16	18
4	Napier City	9	5	2	2	21:14	17
5	Wellington Phoenix 2	9	4	1	4	16:19	13
6	Wellington Olympic	9	3	2	4	17:15	11
7	Coastal Spirit	9	3	2	4	18:20	11
8	Cashmere Technical	9	2	3	4	16:18	9
9	Eastern Suburbs	9	1	2	6	8:17	5
10	Western Suburbs	9	1	1	7	9:28	4