Sport Picks
Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann
Bolivia
Division Profesional 2025 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles 
Kampsammendrag
This Division Profesional 2025 encounter between Aurora and Jorge Wilstermann promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Aurora averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Jorge Wilstermann shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Aurora, 0 wins for Jorge Wilstermann, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 30.11.25 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.42 for Aurora and 1.31 for Jorge Wilstermann, suggesting the primary value lies in the Aurora double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Aurora har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Jorge Wilstermann.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.42 vs 1.31 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 66%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Aurora | Jorge Wilstermann |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 31 | 28 |
| Seire | 11 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 8 |
| Tap | 11 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.74 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.84 | 2.18 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Aurora
Jorge Wilstermann
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Aurora Sammenlign
Jorge Wilstermann Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Aurora is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Jorge Wilstermann will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Aurora's attacks.
Expect Aurora to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Aurora vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Jorge Wilstermann, allowing Aurora's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Aurora, while Jorge Wilstermann takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Aurora have found the net in 97% of their last 31 matches.
Jorge Wilstermann have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Aurora remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Jorge Wilstermann suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 91:34 | 71 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 82:32 | 68 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 30 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 77:47 | 64 |
| 4 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 62:54 | 46 |
| 5 | Blooming | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53:56 | 46 |
| 6 | Independiente | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 56:57 | 45 |
| 7 | Nacional Potosi | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 43 |
| 8 | Guabira | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 58:63 | 43 |
| 9 | GV San Jose | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 46:50 | 41 |
| 10 | Aurora | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 53:63 | 37 |
| 11 | Tomayapo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 40:53 | 35 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 45:58 | 33 |
| 13 | Real Oruro | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 60:66 | 31 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 32:60 | 26 |
| 15 | Academia del Balompie | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 33:64 | 26 |
| 16 | Jorge Wilstermann | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30:71 | 19 |