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Stadium Background

Austria U18 vs Finland U18

World World

Friendly International 2024
fre. 15. nov. 2024
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Friendly International 2024 encounter between Austria U18 and Finland U18 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Austria U18 averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Finland U18 shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Austria U18, 0 wins for Finland U18, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.11.24 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.75 for Austria U18 and 0.63 for Finland U18, suggesting the primary value lies in the Austria U18 double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

40%
Austria U18
30%
Uavgjort
30%
Finland U18
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Austria U18

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

73% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Austria U18 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Finland U18.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.75 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 77%
Over 2.5 Mål 51%
Over 3.5 Mål 31%
Over 4.5 Mål 15%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 53%
Austria U18 Rent bur 29%
Finland U18 Rent bur 19%
Mål 1. omgang 69%
Mål 2. omgang 73%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Austria U18 Finland U18
Kamper Spilt 28 24
Seire 14 9
Uavgjort 5 8
Tap 9 7
Mål Scoret 1.5 1.67
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.63
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 0.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

17.11.24 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
0:0
15.11.24 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
0:0
17.11.23 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
3:1
15.11.23 Friendly International
Austria U18 vs Finland U18
5:2
26.03.23 Friendly International
Finland U18 vs Austria U18
0:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Austria U18

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Finland U18

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Austria U18 42 / 100
Finland U18 31 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Austria U18 Finland U18

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Austria U18 or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Austria U18 44%
Finland U18 24%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Austria U18 38%
Finland U18 32%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Austria U18 40%
Finland U18 30%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Austria U18 42%
Finland U18 29%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Austria U18 36%
Finland U18 33%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Austria U18 46%
Finland U18 35%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Austria U18 angriper → ← angriper Finland U18

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Austria U18 have found the net in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Finland U18 have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 24 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.

Austria U18 remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Finland U18 suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Austria U18 and Finland U18 will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

47 Poeng siste 5 35
1.13 Forventede mål (xG) 0.38
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.38