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Stadium Background

Bagneux W vs Monteux W

Frankrike Frankrike

Division 2 Women 2009/2010
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Division 2 Women 2009/2010 encounter between Bagneux W and Monteux W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Bagneux W averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Monteux W shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Bagneux W, 0 wins for Monteux W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 21.03.10 ended in a 4:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.98 for Bagneux W and 1.30 for Monteux W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bagneux W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

45%
Bagneux W
18%
Uavgjort
37%
Monteux W
Uavgjort-prognose: 18% Favoritt: Bagneux W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

72% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Bagneux W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Monteux W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.98 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 60%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 91%
Over 1.5 Mål 85%
Over 2.5 Mål 60%
Over 3.5 Mål 36%
Over 4.5 Mål 18%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 58%
Bagneux W Rent bur 19%
Monteux W Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 77%
Mål 2. omgang 81%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bagneux W Monteux W
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 9 11
Uavgjort 7 4
Tap 14 15
Mål Scoret 1.43 1.23
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.93 2.17

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

21.03.10 Seconde Ligue Women
Bagneux W vs Monteux W
4:3
04.10.09 Seconde Ligue Women
Monteux W vs Bagneux W
0:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Bagneux W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Monteux W

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bagneux W 44 / 100
Monteux W 35 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bagneux W Monteux W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Bagneux W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Bagneux W 50%
Monteux W 30%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Bagneux W 43%
Monteux W 39%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Bagneux W 45%
Monteux W 37%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Bagneux W 47%
Monteux W 35%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Bagneux W 41%
Monteux W 41%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Bagneux W 52%
Monteux W 43%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Bagneux W angriper → ← angriper Monteux W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Bagneux W have found the net in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Monteux W have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.50 goals per match.

Bagneux W remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Monteux W suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

34 Poeng siste 5 37
0.00 Forventede mål (xG) 1.50
0.00 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rodez AF W22165163:1375
2Muretaine W22145368:2969
3Vendenheim W22126448:2464
4Metz W22116541:2761
5Albi-Marssac W2297633:3756
6Veore Montoison W2294938:4453
7Aurillac W2286849:5652
8Bagneux W2176837:4248
9Monteux W22661040:3946
10Macon W22371228:5238
11Mars Bischheim W22241619:6732
12Dijon W21061515:4927
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Le Mans W22184063:1980
2Conde-sur-Noireau W22144466:2868
3Issy W22126467:2864
4Orvault W2297633:3256
5Gravelines W2296738:3155
6Tours W22931030:4052
7Rennes W2285940:5651
8Bordeaux W22751034:4448
9Compiegne Club Oise W22571027:4444
10Rouen W22621432:5142
11AS Verchers Foot W22371221:3538
12Evreux W22321723:6633