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Bala vs Holyhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Maes Tegid, Bala
lør. 17. okt. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

The first leg ended 1-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holyhead have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Bala have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Bala have won 1 to Holyhead's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 6. feb. 2016, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Holyhead. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Bala
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Holyhead
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Bala

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Holyhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Holyhead, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.6%
Bala Rent bur 17%
Holyhead Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bala Holyhead
Kamper Spilt 30 32
Seire 10 14
Uavgjort 5 4
Tap 15 14
Mål Scoret 1.53 1.59
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.67 1.41
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 1.38
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

6. feb. 2016 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Bala
1:3
25. apr. 2009 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Holyhead
1:4
23. aug. 2008 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Bala
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bala 41 / 100
Holyhead 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bala Holyhead

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Holyhead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Måltrender

Bala VS Holyhead
1.88 Mål scoret 1.13
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bala

(Home)
09 Oct
Bala
2 : 3
Buckley
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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