Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
Bala in this FA Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Bala
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Bala lately — more wins on the board than Llanrug.
- Bala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Bala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 12.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 6%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.4%
Bala Rent bur 18%
Llanrug Rent bur 11%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Bala | Llanrug |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 20 |
| Seire | 10 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 0 |
| Tap | 15 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.27 | 1.85 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.43 | 2.95 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.29 | 1.31 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
31. okt. 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Bala vs Llanrug
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Bala 85 / 100
Llanrug 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Bala Llanrug
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Bala Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Llanrug has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.
Attacking prowess: Bala scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Bala stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Llanrug has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Bala VS -
1.38 Mål scoret 0
1.63 Mål sluppet inn 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bala
(Home) 31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
28 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 3 Bala
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2 Bala
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Bala
0 : 1 Newtown
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1 Ruthin Town
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4 Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2 Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 4
Llanrug
(Away) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
Page 1 of 4
18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
02 Nov
Aberffraw
0 : 1 Llanrug
07 Oct
Llay Welfare
1 : 0 Llanrug
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
