Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2018. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Upesciems have shipped 2.35 goals a game lately, while Bebri have conceded 3.34 and scored 1.06. Past meetings favor Bebri slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. juni 2018, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.98 - 2.31) back Upesciems to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 91%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 94%
Over 2.5 Mål 91%
Over 3.5 Mål 71%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73%
Bebri Rent bur 10%
Upesciems Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Bebri | Upesciems |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 32 | 20 |
| Seire | 5 | 8 |
| Uavgjort | 4 | 0 |
| Tap | 23 | 12 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.06 | 1.8 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 3.34 | 2.35 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.98 | 2.31 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
17. juni 2018 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
3:0
17. okt. 2009 Latvian Cup
Bebri vs Upesciems
4:5
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Bebri 34 / 100
Upesciems 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Bebri Upesciems
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Upesciems Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Upesciems has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Upesciems has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Bebri scored in 59% of their last 32 games.
Måltrender
Bebri VS Upesciems
0.63 Mål scoret 1
3.63 Mål sluppet inn 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Bebri
(Home) 19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1 Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2 JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1 Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1 Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2 Bebri
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2 JFC Viola
23 Aug
Bebri
1 : 2 Priekuli
21 Oct
Bebri
1 : 1 FK Smiltene
06 Oct
Bebri
0 : 5 BFC Daugavpils
22 Sept
Bebri
0 : 1 Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 3
Upesciems
(Away) 22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3 Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4 Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3 FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2 Lubana
Page 1 of 4
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0 Upesciems
11 Jun
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze
3 : 1 Upesciems
11 Jul
Salaspils FK
3 : 0 Upesciems
18 Jun
Caramba
3 : 2 Upesciems
15 Jun
Kalupe
0 : 2 Upesciems
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina -
TBD -
SK Cesis 1
Albatroz 4
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
Lielupe 2
Nikers 5
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Salacgriva -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Super Nova -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
SK Babite 5
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
Salaspils FK 9
Valka 0
KF Grobina 0
BetLanes 14
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kauguri-PBLC 4
Bauskas / Memele 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
TBD -
Lubana 2
Upesciems 5
FK Karosta 9
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
FK Limbazi -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
Albatroz 1
FK Alberts 1
DSVK Traktors 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Nikers 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United 10
FK Salacgriva 0
Aliance 0
Ghetto / Gvatar 5
Super Nova 2
SK Babite 1
Balvu SC 1
FK Smiltene 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 9
Plavinas 1
Salaspils FK 0
BetLanes 7
RTU 2
Rezekne 0
Kauguri-PBLC 3
Tukums 2000 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri 3
Upesciems 0
FK Karosta 1
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Limbazi 6
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
DSVK Traktors 0
Alberts JDFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 5
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Riga United 1
Ghetto / Gvatar 9
Super Nova 2
FK Smiltene 0
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 0
BetLanes 2
RTU 5
Tukums 2000 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Bebri 0
Preilu BJSS 5
FK Limbazi 1
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
FK Metta 2
Jelgava 1
Grobina 2
BFC Daugavpils 6
Spartaks Jurmala 8
Ghetto / Gvatar 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
BetLanes 1
RTU 0
FK Liepaja 5
Valmiera 3
Preilu BJSS 0
FK Limbazi 0
RFS 15
Quarter-finals
FK Metta 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 3
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 0
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Semi-finals
FK Metta 1
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 1
Ventspils 0
