Sport Picks
Belenenses U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022 
Kampsammendrag
Belenenses U19 enters this Campeonato Nacional U19 2021/2022 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 63%. Belenenses U19 averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Vilafranquense U19 shows a form average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Belenenses U19, 0 wins for Vilafranquense U19, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 27.05.23 ended in a 0:4 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.85 for Belenenses U19 and 1.19 for Vilafranquense U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Belenenses U19 double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Belenenses U19 har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Vilafranquense U19.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.85 vs 1.19 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Belenenses U19 | Vilafranquense U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 33 | 30 |
| Seire | 11 | 3 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 6 |
| Tap | 15 | 21 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.88 | 0.73 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.36 | 1.73 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Belenenses U19
Vilafranquense U19
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Belenenses U19 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Vilafranquense U19 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Belenenses U19's attacks.
Expect Belenenses U19 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Belenenses U19 vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Vilafranquense U19, allowing Belenenses U19's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Belenenses U19, while Vilafranquense U19 takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Belenenses U19 have found the net in 64% of their last 33 matches.
Vilafranquense U19 have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Belenenses U19 remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Vilafranquense U19 suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning