Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bergheim W vs Horn W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2021
lør. 13. feb. 2021
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Club Friendly Women 2021 encounter between Bergheim W and Horn W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Bergheim W averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Horn W shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Bergheim W, 0 wins for Horn W, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 03.04.21 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Bergheim W and 0.81 for Horn W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bergheim W double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

50%
Bergheim W
29%
Uavgjort
21%
Horn W
Uavgjort-prognose: 29% Favoritt: Bergheim W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

83% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Bergheim W har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Horn W.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.92 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 74%
Over 2.5 Mål 47%
Over 3.5 Mål 28%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 26%
Bergheim W Rent bur 26%
Horn W Rent bur 16%
Mål 1. omgang 67%
Mål 2. omgang 70%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bergheim W Horn W
Kamper Spilt 32 21
Seire 11 4
Uavgjort 10 3
Tap 11 14
Mål Scoret 0.91 0.86
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.16 3.05

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

03.04.21 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs Horn W
2:0
13.02.21 Club Friendly Women
Bergheim W vs Horn W
0:0
03.10.20 Bundesliga Women
Horn W vs Bergheim W
0:5
21.03.20 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs Horn W
0:0
18.08.19 Bundesliga Women
Horn W vs Bergheim W
1:2

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Bergheim W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Horn W

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bergheim W 50 / 100
Horn W 22 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bergheim W Horn W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Bergheim W or Draw (1X)
Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Bergheim W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Bergheim W 55%
Horn W 17%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Horn W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Bergheim W's attacks.

Bergheim W 48%
Horn W 22%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Bergheim W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Bergheim W 50%
Horn W 21%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Bergheim W vary their attacking width.

Bergheim W 53%
Horn W 20%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Horn W, allowing Bergheim W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Bergheim W 45%
Horn W 23%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Bergheim W, while Horn W takes risks to salvage a result.

Bergheim W 57%
Horn W 24%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Bergheim W angriper → ← angriper Horn W

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Bergheim W have found the net in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Horn W have conceded at least one goal in 90% of their last 21 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Bergheim W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Horn W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Bergheim W and Horn W will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

43 Poeng siste 5 15
0.63 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
0.63 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00