Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This Southern League Premier South encounter between Berkhamsted Town and Weymouth promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Berkhamsted Town averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Weymouth shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Berkhamsted Town, 0 wins for Weymouth, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Berkhamsted Town and 1.50 for Weymouth, suggesting the primary value lies in the Berkhamsted Town double chance or over markets.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Berkhamsted Town har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Weymouth.
- Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
- Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
- Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Berkhamsted Town | Weymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 30 |
| Seire | 15 | 10 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 5 |
| Tap | 9 | 15 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.59 | 1.3 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.14 | 1.53 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.00 | 2.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
Taktisk Profil
Posisjonering og Kontrollstil
Berkhamsted Town
Weymouth
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Berkhamsted Town Sammenlign
Weymouth Sammenlign
Skadesituasjon
Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne
Erventet Kampforløp
Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker
Berkhamsted Town is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Weymouth will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Berkhamsted Town's attacks.
Expect Berkhamsted Town to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Berkhamsted Town vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Weymouth, allowing Berkhamsted Town's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Berkhamsted Town, while Weymouth takes risks to salvage a result.
Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd
Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Berkhamsted Town have found the net in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Weymouth have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.
Berkhamsted Town remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Weymouth suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Statistikk-sammenligning
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |