Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berkhamsted Town vs Weymouth

England England

Southern League Premier South
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

This Southern League Premier South encounter between Berkhamsted Town and Weymouth promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Berkhamsted Town averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Weymouth shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Berkhamsted Town, 0 wins for Weymouth, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.04.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.44 for Berkhamsted Town and 1.50 for Weymouth, suggesting the primary value lies in the Berkhamsted Town double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

55%
Berkhamsted Town
17%
Uavgjort
28%
Weymouth
Uavgjort-prognose: 17% Favoritt: Berkhamsted Town

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

82% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Berkhamsted Town har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Weymouth.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 77%
Over 2.5 Mål 52%
Over 3.5 Mål 31%
Over 4.5 Mål 16%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 48%
Berkhamsted Town Rent bur 16%
Weymouth Rent bur 10%
Mål 1. omgang 69%
Mål 2. omgang 73%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Berkhamsted Town Weymouth
Kamper Spilt 29 30
Seire 15 10
Uavgjort 5 5
Tap 9 15
Mål Scoret 1.59 1.3
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.14 1.53
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.00 2.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

25.04.26 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Weymouth
2:0
13.12.25 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Berkhamsted Town
0:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Berkhamsted Town

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Weymouth

Pressintensitet Aggressivt press (PPDA < 9.5)
Angrepsstil Holde på ballen
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Berkhamsted Town Sammenlign

Toppscorer Gurteen J.
1 Mål
Assister Sani J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 1

Weymouth Sammenlign

Toppscorer N/A
0 Mål
Assister N/A
0 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.94
Snitt xA / kamp 1.18

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Berkhamsted Town 53 / 100
Weymouth 27 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Berkhamsted Town Weymouth

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Berkhamsted Town Win (1)
Sekundærtips Berkhamsted Town & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Berkhamsted Town is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Berkhamsted Town 61%
Weymouth 22%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Weymouth will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Berkhamsted Town's attacks.

Berkhamsted Town 52%
Weymouth 29%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Berkhamsted Town to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Berkhamsted Town 55%
Weymouth 28%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Berkhamsted Town vary their attacking width.

Berkhamsted Town 58%
Weymouth 27%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Weymouth, allowing Berkhamsted Town's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Berkhamsted Town 50%
Weymouth 31%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Berkhamsted Town, while Weymouth takes risks to salvage a result.

Berkhamsted Town 63%
Weymouth 32%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Berkhamsted Town angriper → ← angriper Weymouth

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Berkhamsted Town have found the net in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Weymouth have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.50 goals per match.

Berkhamsted Town remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Weymouth suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

50 Poeng siste 5 35
2.00 Forventede mål (xG) 2.13
0.88 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518