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BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
man. 19. okt. 2026
VS
03:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

BFC Daugavpils host FK Auda Riga in the Virsliga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: BFC Daugavpils at 1.28 goals for, 1.1 against; FK Auda Riga at 1.69 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor FK Auda Riga slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2. sep. 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back FK Auda Riga to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

22%
BFC Daugavpils
28%
Uavgjort
50%
FK Auda Riga
Uavgjort-prognose: 28% Favoritt: FK Auda Riga

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

76% / Høy Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 18%
FK Auda Riga Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 10 19
Uavgjort 9 7
Tap 10 6
Mål Scoret 1.28 1.69
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 1.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.13 1.31
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

2. sep. 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
2:3
26. juli 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0
26. mai 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
12. apr. 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
5. okt. 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 23 / 100
FK Auda Riga 48 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

FK Auda Riga let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: BFC Daugavpils remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

BFC Daugavpils VS FK Auda Riga
1.13 Mål scoret 1.63
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

FK Auda Riga

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)