Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
Latvia
Latvian Cup Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Kampsammendrag
A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. BFC Daugavpils have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Ogre United's 1.03 scored and 2.41 conceded. Head-to-head, BFC Daugavpils have won 3 to Ogre United's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 19. juli 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.25 - 1.25) back BFC Daugavpils to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
- Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Ogre United.
- Model gives BFC Daugavpils a 90% chance of winning this.
- BFC Daugavpils have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor BFC Daugavpils, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- BFC Daugavpils have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | BFC Daugavpils | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 29 |
| Seire | 11 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 5 |
| Tap | 13 | 19 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.43 | 2.41 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Ogre United conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: BFC Daugavpils remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
