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BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

3 - 1
Slutt
Ogre United Logo

Ogre United

Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

12'
Fokam J.
14' Event
Kalnins M.
39' Event
Traore A.
Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
BFC Daugavpils
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Ogre United
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to BFC Daugavpils lately — more wins on the board than Ogre United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • BFC Daugavpils have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BFC Daugavpils, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • BFC Daugavpils have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 20%
Ogre United Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk BFC Daugavpils Ogre United
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 11 5
Uavgjort 9 5
Tap 10 20
Mål Scoret 1.3 1.2
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 2.63
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.25 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

14. aug. 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
19. juli 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils
0:4
21. mai 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
7. apr. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
2:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

BFC Daugavpils Sammenlign

Toppscorer Traore A.
1 Mål
Assister Ayebadiepreye D.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.73
Snitt xA / kamp 1.13

Ogre United Sammenlign

Toppscorer Kalnins M.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 31 / 100
Ogre United 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
BFC Daugavpils Ogre United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Ogre United conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Ogre United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

BFC Daugavpils VS Ogre United
1.63 Mål scoret 1.13
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

Ogre United

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -