Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Kamphendelser
41'
41'
Mukwelle W.
(Straffe)
45'
45'
Ndjiki R.
Assist: Mihalcovs G.
46'
46'
Bytte
Kumakura K. Inn: Aditajs R.
Ut: Kumakura K.
Kampsammendrag
The Virsliga game between BFC Daugavpils and Ogre United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Daugavpils.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
30%
39%
31%
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
65%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Ogre United haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and BFC Daugavpils have taken 4 of them.
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
BFC Daugavpils Rent bur 20%
Ogre United Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | BFC Daugavpils | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 30 |
| Seire | 11 | 5 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 5 |
| Tap | 10 | 20 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.1 | 2.63 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
14. aug. 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
19. juli 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils
0:4
21. mai 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
3:1
7. apr. 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United
2:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
BFC Daugavpils Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ndjiki R.
1 Mål Assister Garzha A.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.73
Snitt xA / kamp 1.13
Ogre United Sammenlign
Toppscorer Pacepko M.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.91
Snitt xA / kamp 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 31 / 100
Ogre United 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
BFC Daugavpils Ogre United
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Ogre United conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Ogre United lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
BFC Daugavpils VS Ogre United
1.63 Mål scoret 1.13
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 Jelgava
Page 1 of 4
Ogre United
(Away) 20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0 Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2 FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3 RFS
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Ogre United
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1 Ogre United
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
09 Aug
Riga FC
4 : 1 Ogre United
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2 Ogre United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71:22 | 74 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 86:30 | 73 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 61 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 41:43 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35:35 | 39 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 29:40 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 32:49 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobina | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21:52 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 30:76 | 18 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)
