Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Biel vs Aarau

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
søn. 16. aug. 2026
VS
01:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Swiss Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Biel at 2.28 goals for, 0.97 against; Aarau at 1.93 for, 1.54 against. Past meetings favor Biel slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 18. jan. 2025, ending 3:5. xG projections (1.81 - 0.94) back Biel to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%
Biel
6%
Uavgjort
4%
Aarau
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Biel

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Aarau haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Biel taking it.
  • Biel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aarau, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 38%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77%
Biel Rent bur 20%
Aarau Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Biel Aarau
Kamper Spilt 29 28
Seire 18 14
Uavgjort 9 7
Tap 2 7
Mål Scoret 2.28 1.93
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.97 1.54
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.81 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18. jan. 2025 Club Friendly
Biel vs Aarau
3:5
17. apr. 2016 Challenge League
Biel vs Aarau
0:0
6. feb. 2016 Challenge League
Aarau vs Biel
0:0
1. nov. 2015 Challenge League
Biel vs Aarau
3:1
2. aug. 2015 Challenge League
Aarau vs Biel
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Biel 85 / 100
Aarau 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Biel Aarau

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Biel Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Attacking prowess: Biel scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Biel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aarau has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Måltrender

Biel VS Aarau
2.13 Mål scoret 0.88
1 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Biel

(Home)
09 Aug
Biel
4 : 2
Young Fellows Juventus
02 Aug
Zurich II
0 : 1
Biel
23 Jul
Biel
2 : 0
Prishtina Bern
20 Jul
Biel
2 : 2
Breitenrain
18 Jul
Biel
1 : 1
Kriens
Page 1 of 6

Aarau

(Away)
07 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Aug
Aarau
1 : 1
Lausanne Ouchy
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0
Aarau
18 Jul
Aarau
2 : 1
Union Berlin
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Interlaken -
Bulle -
Courrendlin-Courroux -
Grenchen -
Kaufdorf -
Old Boys -
Koniz -
Munsingen -
FC Aesch -
Langenthal -
Biel -
Aarau -
Liestal -
Young Boys -
Courtetelle -
Basel -
FC Saxon-Sports -
Thun -
Kerzers -
Sion -
Wiesendangen -
Bruhl SG -
Rorschach -
Schaffhausen -
Mutschellen -
FC Winkeln SG -
Thalwil -
St. Gallen -
Zurich City SC -
Winterthur -
Rebstein -
Wil -
Tuggen -
Zurich -
Young Fellows Juventus -
Rapperswil-Jona -
Regensdorf -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Genolier-Begnins -
Collex-Bossy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Terre Sainte -
Yverdon -
Meyrin -
Xamax -
Amical Saint-Prex -
Stade Nyonnais -
Bavois -
Servette -
CS Italien -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Kosova Neuchatel -
Lausanne -
Taverne -
Brunnen -
Rotkreuz -
Bellinzona -
Buochs -
Luzern -
Vedeggio -
Lugano -
Cham -
Kriens -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -