Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Birmingham vs Port Vale

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

30'
Neumann P.
39'
Leonard M.
45' Event
Headley J.
Assist: Croasdale R.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 0-1, with Port Vale advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

30%
Birmingham
39%
Uavgjort
31%
Port Vale
Uavgjort-prognose: 39% Favoritt: Draw

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

65% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Port Vale haven't matched Birmingham's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Birmingham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Port Vale, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69.8%
Birmingham Rent bur 19%
Port Vale Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Birmingham Port Vale
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 16 14
Uavgjort 6 6
Tap 7 12
Mål Scoret 1.45 1.31
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.03 1.31
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.50 1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

26. aug. 2025 EFL Cup
Birmingham vs Port Vale
0:1
26. juli 2025 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Birmingham
0:2
27. juli 2016 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Birmingham
0:2
22. jan. 2000 Championship
Port Vale vs Birmingham
3:1
21. aug. 1999 Championship
Birmingham vs Port Vale
4:2

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Birmingham Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 1.15
Snitt xA / kamp 0.75

Port Vale Sammenlign

Toppscorer Headley J.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.14
Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Birmingham 31 / 100
Port Vale 30 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Birmingham Port Vale

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips BIR Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Birmingham found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Birmingham has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Port Vale has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Birmingham VS Port Vale
2.13 Mål scoret 1.63
0.88 Mål sluppet inn 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham

(Home)
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1
Birmingham
31 Jul
Birmingham
3 : 2
Barcelona
25 Jul
Crewe
1 : 2
Birmingham
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
15 Jul
Solihull Moors
0 : 3
Birmingham
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
07 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0
Port Vale
01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1
Port Vale
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2