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Stadium Background

Bohemians vs Finglas United

World World

Club Friendly
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Bohemians enters this Club Friendly fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 60%. Bohemians averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Finglas United shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Bohemians, 1 wins for Finglas United, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.01.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Bohemians and 1.13 for Finglas United, suggesting the primary value lies in the Bohemians double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

60%
Bohemians
25%
Uavgjort
15%
Finglas United
Uavgjort-prognose: 25% Favoritt: Bohemians

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

91% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Bohemians har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Finglas United.
  • Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 71%
Over 2.5 Mål 55%
Over 3.5 Mål 33%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 58%
Bohemians Rent bur 21%
Finglas United Rent bur 15%
Mål 1. omgang 64%
Mål 2. omgang 67%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bohemians Finglas United
Kamper Spilt 29 1
Seire 14 1
Uavgjort 8 0
Tap 7 0
Mål Scoret 1.66 1
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.1 0

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

18.01.26 Club Friendly
Bohemians vs Finglas United
0:1

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Bohemians

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg
Forsvarsoppstilling Høy forsvarslinje (Offside-felle)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Finglas United

Pressintensitet Medium blokk
Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer
Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten
Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bohemians 58 / 100
Finglas United 17 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bohemians Finglas United

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Bohemians Win (1)
Sekundærtips Bohemians & Over 2.5
Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Bohemians is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Bohemians 66%
Finglas United 12%
15' - 30' Dominansindeks

Finglas United will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Bohemians's attacks.

Bohemians 57%
Finglas United 16%
30' - 45' Dominansindeks

Expect Bohemians to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Bohemians 60%
Finglas United 15%
45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Bohemians vary their attacking width.

Bohemians 63%
Finglas United 14%
60' - 75' Dominansindeks

Fatigue may set in for Finglas United, allowing Bohemians's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Bohemians 54%
Finglas United 17%
75' - 90' Dominansindeks

Expect a final offensive push from Bohemians, while Finglas United takes risks to salvage a result.

Bohemians 69%
Finglas United 17%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Bohemians angriper → ← angriper Finglas United

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Bohemians have found the net in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Finglas United have conceded at least one goal in 0% of their last 1 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.

Bohemians remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Finglas United suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Lav
Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Friendly match context where both Bohemians and Finglas United will focus on tactical prep rather than league table pressure.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

50 Poeng siste 5 3
0.75 Forventede mål (xG) 0.00
1.25 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 0.00