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Botev Novi Pazar vs Ustrem Donchevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
Kampsammendrag
The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Ustrem Donchevo finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Novi Pazar.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Ustrem Donchevo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 80%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 80%
Over 3.5 Mål 81.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 37%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.8%
Botev Novi Pazar Rent bur 10%
Ustrem Donchevo Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Botev Novi Pazar | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 8 | 12 |
| Uavgjort | 7 | 4 |
| Tap | 14 | 13 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.38 | 2.1 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2 | 2.14 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.56 | 2.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
26. aug. 2026 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ustrem Donchevo
5:1
4. apr. 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Botev Novi Pazar
1:1
27. sep. 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:1
25. mai 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:0
23. nov. 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Botev Novi Pazar 34 / 100
Ustrem Donchevo 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Botev Novi Pazar Ustrem Donchevo
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Ustrem Donchevo Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Defensive concern: Ustrem Donchevo conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Botev Novi Pazar scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Botev Novi Pazar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Måltrender
Botev Novi Pazar VS Ustrem Donchevo
1.75 Mål scoret 2.25
2 Mål sluppet inn 3.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Botev Novi Pazar
(Home) 03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
26 Sept
Cherno More II
1 : 1 Botev Novi Pazar
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4 Vihren
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 4
Ustrem Donchevo
(Away) 03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
30 May
FK Riltzi
2 : 4 Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benkovski | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:29 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | 1 |
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