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Brentford vs Aston Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Brentford Community Stadium, London
tir. 16. sep. 2025
2 - 1
07:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

25'
Guessand E.
43' Event
Elliott H.
Assist: McGinn J.
46'
Bytte
Janelt V. Inn: Yarmolyuk Y.
Ut: Janelt V.

Kampsammendrag

This match ends 2-1, with Brentford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Brentford
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Aston Villa
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Brentford

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Brentford haven't matched Aston Villa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Brentford a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Aston Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brentford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 74.2%
Brentford Rent bur 20%
Aston Villa Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Brentford Aston Villa
Kamper Spilt 29 32
Seire 12 15
Uavgjort 11 4
Tap 6 13
Mål Scoret 1.86 1.94
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.21 1.47
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.44 0.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

1. feb. 2026 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brentford
0:1
16. sep. 2025 EFL Cup
Brentford vs Aston Villa
2:1
23. aug. 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Aston Villa
1:0
8. mars 2025 Premier League
Brentford vs Aston Villa
0:1
4. des. 2024 Premier League
Aston Villa vs Brentford
3:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Brentford Sammenlign

Toppscorer Hickey A.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.88
Snitt xA / kamp 1.22

Aston Villa Sammenlign

Toppscorer Elliott H.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.85
Snitt xA / kamp 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Brentford 42 / 100
Aston Villa 36 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Brentford Aston Villa

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Aston Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Brentford has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brentford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Måltrender

Brentford VS Aston Villa
3.13 Mål scoret 1.13
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford

(Home)
18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0
Chelsea
15 Sept
Reading
1 : 2
Brentford
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2
Brentford
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Leeds
1 : 1
Brentford
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa

(Away)
02 Oct
Sevilla
1 : 3
Aston Villa
19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3
Aston Villa
16 Sept
Coventry
1 : 3
Aston Villa
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
08 Sept
Club Brugge
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2