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Bulgaria vs Iceland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League
fre. 13. nov. 2026
VS
07:45 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

Bulgaria host Iceland in the UEFA Nations League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Iceland have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Bulgaria have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Bulgaria slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 3. okt. 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.00, favoring Bulgaria. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Bulgaria
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Iceland
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Iceland

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Look at the last few games and Iceland come out ahead of Bulgaria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Iceland's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 25%
Over 4.5 Mål 11%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 70.6%
Bulgaria Rent bur 20%
Iceland Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Bulgaria Iceland
Kamper Spilt 30 30
Seire 7 10
Uavgjort 11 6
Tap 12 14
Mål Scoret 1.1 1.53
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.7 1.67
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.88 1.00
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

3. okt. 2026 UEFA Nations League
Iceland vs Bulgaria
3:0
7. sep. 2005 World Championship
Bulgaria vs Iceland
3:2
4. sep. 2004 World Championship
Iceland vs Bulgaria
1:3
6. juni 2001 World Championship
Iceland vs Bulgaria
1:1
24. mars 2001 World Championship
Bulgaria vs Iceland
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Bulgaria 28 / 100
Iceland 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Bulgaria Iceland

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Iceland Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Bulgaria found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Bulgaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Bulgaria VS Iceland
2 Mål scoret 0.75
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bulgaria

(Home)
06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Bulgaria
03 Oct
Iceland
3 : 0
Bulgaria
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
Page 1 of 6

Iceland

(Away)
06 Oct
Estonia
0 : 0
Iceland
03 Oct
Iceland
3 : 0
Bulgaria
29 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 3
Iceland
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)