Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burnley vs Cardiff

England England

EFL Cup 2025/2026 Turf Moor, Burnley
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

23'
Ugochukwu L.
30' Event
Colwill J.
Assist: Chambers C.
34'
Edwards M.

Kampsammendrag

Cardiff in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

4%
Burnley
6%
Uavgjort
90%
Cardiff
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Cardiff

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Cardiff have won more games recently than Burnley.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cardiff arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Burnley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 62.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 28%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Burnley Rent bur 10%
Cardiff Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Burnley Cardiff
Kamper Spilt 29 29
Seire 2 16
Uavgjort 10 8
Tap 17 5
Mål Scoret 0.88 3.13
Mål Sluppet Inn 2 1.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.88 3.13
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

23. sep. 2025 EFL Cup
Burnley vs Cardiff
1:2
4. mars 2025 Championship
Cardiff vs Burnley
1:2
17. aug. 2024 Championship
Burnley vs Cardiff
5:0
8. mai 2023 Championship
Burnley vs Cardiff
3:0
1. okt. 2022 Championship
Cardiff vs Burnley
1:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Burnley Sammenlign

Toppscorer Flemming Z.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.44

Cardiff Sammenlign

Toppscorer Colwill J.
1 Mål
Assister Robinson C.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.85
Snitt xA / kamp 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Burnley 10 / 100
Cardiff 83 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Burnley Cardiff

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips CAR Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Burnley scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Cardiff let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Burnley has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Måltrender

Burnley VS Cardiff
0.88 Mål scoret 3.13
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley

(Home)
02 Aug
Burnley
0 : 1
Torino
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2
Espanyol
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
16 Jul
Real Salt Lake
4 : 1
Burnley
12 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Burnley
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff

(Away)
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1
AS Roma
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6
Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2