Sport Picks
Kamphendelser
4'
4'
Ramsey A.
Assist: Broja A.
35'
35'
Clark B.
Assist: Elder C.
46'
46'
Bytte
Elder C. Inn: Clarke M.
Ut: Elder C.
Kampsammendrag
Burnley in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
44%
20%
Uavgjort-prognose: 44% Favoritt: Draw
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
71%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Form's been kind to Derby lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Derby arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Burnley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 88%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 37.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 17%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.2%
Burnley Rent bur 14%
Derby Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Burnley | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 3 | 13 |
| Uavgjort | 9 | 2 |
| Tap | 17 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2 | 1.34 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
26. aug. 2025 EFL Cup
Burnley vs Derby
2:1
8. apr. 2025 Championship
Derby vs Burnley
0:0
10. des. 2024 Championship
Burnley vs Derby
0:0
25. jan. 2016 Championship
Burnley vs Derby
4:1
21. sep. 2015 Championship
Derby vs Burnley
0:0
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Burnley Sammenlign
Toppscorer Ramsey A.
1 Mål Assister Sonne O.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.01
Snitt xA / kamp 0.66
Derby Sammenlign
Toppscorer Clark B.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.48
Snitt xA / kamp 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Burnley 35 / 100
Derby 20 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Burnley Derby
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips DER Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Burnley's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Derby let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Derby lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Burnley VS Derby
1.13 Mål scoret 1.25
2 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Burnley
(Home) 08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
02 Aug
Burnley
0 : 1 Torino
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2 Espanyol
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1 Burnley
16 Jul
Real Salt Lake
4 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
02 Aug
Burnley
0 : 1 Torino
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2 Espanyol
24 May
Burnley
1 : 1 Wolves
10 May
Burnley
2 : 2 Aston Villa
Page 1 of 3
Derby
(Away) 08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2 Lincoln City
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
28 Jul
Derby
1 : 2 Valencia
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3 Derby
24 Jul
Freiburg
3 : 1 Derby
17 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 2 Derby
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
