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Burnley W vs Aston Villa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup Turf Moor, Burnley
ons. 21. okt. 2026
VS
06:00 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Women's League Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Burnley W have averaged 2.6 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Aston Villa W's 1.42 scored and 2.13 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.15 xG vs 1.21) point toward Burnley W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Burnley W
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Aston Villa W
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Aston Villa W

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Burnley W have won more games recently than Aston Villa W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa W taking it.
  • Burnley W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 26%
Over 4.5 Mål 12%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 68.2%
Burnley W Rent bur 20%
Aston Villa W Rent bur 13%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Burnley W Aston Villa W
Kamper Spilt 30 31
Seire 21 8
Uavgjort 4 7
Tap 5 16
Mål Scoret 2.6 1.42
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.67 2.13
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.15 1.21
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Burnley W 28 / 100
Aston Villa W 39 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Burnley W Aston Villa W

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Aston Villa W Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Burnley W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Aston Villa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Burnley W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aston Villa W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Måltrender

Burnley W VS Aston Villa W
0.29 Mål scoret 1
1.43 Mål sluppet inn 2
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burnley W

(Home)
04 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 0
Burnley W
26 Sept
Burnley W
0 : 0
Bristol City W
18 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 0
Burnley W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
04 Sept
Watford W
0 : 0
Burnley W
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa W

(Away)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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