Sport Picks
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Draconians
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Kamphendelser
43'
43'
McLean T.
(Straffe)
81'
81'
Bowen D.
(Straffe)
90'
90'
McLean T.
(Straffe)
Kampsammendrag
Caerau Ely in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caerau Ely.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
36%
30%
34%
Uavgjort-prognose: 30% Favoritt: Caerau Ely
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
66%
/ Middels Sikkerhet
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Cardiff Draconians.
- Model gives Caerau Ely a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 75.8%
Caerau Ely Rent bur 20%
Cardiff Draconians Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caerau Ely | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 29 |
| Seire | 14 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 6 | 4 |
| Tap | 9 | 14 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.21 | 1.86 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.33 | 0.98 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
2. jan. 2026 Cymru South
Caerau Ely vs Cardiff Draconians
2:1
16. aug. 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau Ely
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caerau Ely 36 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 33 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caerau Ely Cardiff Draconians
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Cardiff Draconians has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Caerau Ely went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Caerau Ely VS Cardiff Draconians
1.5 Mål scoret 0.83
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 1.17
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerau Ely
(Home) 21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
01 Aug
Carmarthen Town
4 : 3 Caerau Ely
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4 Barnstaple Town
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
07 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 1 Ynyshir Albions
25 Jul
Caerau Ely
4 : 4 Barnstaple Town
03 Jul
Caerau Ely
5 : 1 Croesyceiliog FC
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 4
Cardiff Draconians
(Away) 22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2 Llanelli
15 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 4 Pontypridd United
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4 Cardiff Draconians
06 Mar
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
04 Mar
Trefelin
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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