Sport Picks

Caerau Ely vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

FAW Welsh Cup

Llanelli

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Llanelli have shipped 2.79 goals a game lately, while Caerau Ely have conceded 1.48 and scored 2.37. Past meetings favor Llanelli slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 11. sep. 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.44) back Caerau Ely to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

90%

Caerau Ely

Uavgjort

Llanelli

Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caerau Ely

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

95% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet

Form's been kind to Caerau Ely lately — more wins on the board than Llanelli.
Win probability leans Caerau Ely's way, sitting at 90%.
Caerau Ely have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Llanelli, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
History favors Llanelli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 99%

Over 1.5 Mål 100%

Over 2.5 Mål 78%

Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%

Over 4.5 Mål 25%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 71.8%

Caerau Ely Rent bur 16%

Llanelli Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Caerau Ely	Llanelli
Kamper Spilt	27	28
Seire	14	1
Uavgjort	5	5
Tap	8	22
Mål Scoret	2.37	0.57
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.48	2.79
Forventede Mål (xG)	2.50	1.44
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

11. sep. 2026 Cymru South

Caerau Ely vs Llanelli

3:0

7. mars 2025 Cymru South

Llanelli vs Caerau Ely

3:1

11. okt. 2024 Cymru South

Caerau Ely vs Llanelli

1:2

3. nov. 2023 Cymru South

Llanelli vs Caerau Ely

4:0

27. okt. 2023 Cymru South

Caerau Ely vs Llanelli

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caerau Ely 84 / 100

Llanelli 10 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Caerau Ely Llanelli

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Caerau Ely Win (1)

Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Caerau Ely found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Llanelli conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Away concern: Llanelli has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Måltrender

Caerau Ely VS Llanelli

2.38 Mål scoret 0.63

2.25 Mål sluppet inn 2.63

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

(Home)

02 Oct

Caerau Ely

2 : 0

Afan Lido

26 Sept

Cardiff Draconians

1 : 3

Caerau Ely

11 Sept

Caerau Ely

3 : 0

Llanelli

31 Aug

Caerau Ely

3 : 2

Treowen

28 Aug

Baglan Dragons

3 : 1

Caerau Ely

Page 1 of 6

Llanelli

(Away)

02 Oct

Llanelli

1 : 2

Baglan Dragons

26 Sept

Llantwit Major

2 : 0

Llanelli

11 Sept

Caerau Ely

3 : 0

Llanelli

04 Sept

Llanelli

0 : 2

Treowen

31 Aug

Aberystwyth

4 : 0

Llanelli

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Airbus UK Broughton FC -

TNS -

Coedpoeth -

Guilsfield -

Llannefydd -

Llandudno FC -

Newtown -

Llanuwchllyn -

Bala -

Holyhead -

Connahs Q. -

Porthmadog -

Penycae FC -

Dolgellau Athletic -

Aberystwyth -

Prestatyn -

Flint Town -

Caernarfon -

Llay Welfare -

Holywell Town FC -

Buckley -

Colwyn Bay -

Brickfield Rangers -

Llangefni -

Denbigh -

Bangor 1876 -

Cefn Albion -

Felinheli -

Llysfaen -

Mochdre Sports -

Pontarddulais -

Goytre Utd -

Trefelin -

Llantwit Major -

Afan Lido -

Penybont -

Caerau Ely -

Llanelli -

Blaen-y-Maes -

Ely Rangers -

Radnor Valley -

Cardiff Draconians -

Barry Town -

Tredegar Town -

Cwmaman Institute -

Ammanford Town -

Llangennech -

Pontardawe -

Caerphilly -

Chepstow Town -

Evans Williams -

Rockspur -

Briton Ferry -

Afan United -

Llantwit Fardre -

Baglan Dragons -

Cardiff Metropolitan University -

Ynyshir Albions -

Cambrian United -

Trethomas Bluebirds -

Carmarthen Town -

Newport City -

Haverfordwest -

Cardiff Corries -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Caerau Ely vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales

Caerau Ely

Llanelli

Kampsammendrag

Seierssannsynlighet

Modellens Sikkerhet

Målsannsynlighet

Siste Formanalyse

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Modell-Prognose

Smart Innsikt

Måltrender

Recent Form & Match History

Caerau Ely

Llanelli

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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