Sport Picks
Kampsammendrag
This match ends 2-0, with Caerleon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Caerleon
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Caerleon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Caerleon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Caerleon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Caerleon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 79%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 99%
Over 1.5 Mål 100%
Over 2.5 Mål 79%
Over 3.5 Mål 46.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 21%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.8%
Caerleon Rent bur 11%
Brymbo Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caerleon | Brymbo |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 32 | 11 |
| Seire | 4 | 2 |
| Uavgjort | 3 | 0 |
| Tap | 25 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 0.84 | 1.09 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 2.19 | 4.55 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.95 | 1.79 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
3. nov. 2007 FAW Welsh Cup
Caerleon vs Brymbo
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caerleon 83 / 100
Brymbo 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caerleon Brymbo
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caerleon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Brymbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 11 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Difficult form: Brymbo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Caerleon's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Måltrender
Caerleon VS Brymbo
0.5 Mål scoret 1.2
2.38 Mål sluppet inn 5.4
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
Caerleon
(Home) 19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1 Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0 Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1 Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1 Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2 Tata Steel
24 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 3 Cwmbran Celtic
18 Apr
Caerleon
0 : 2 Bridgend Town
Page 1 of 4
Brymbo
(Away) 04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1 Brymbo
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1 Llansantffraid Village
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1 Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1 Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0 Brymbo
Page 1 of 3
04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1 Brymbo
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1 Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1 Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0 Brymbo
03 Nov
Caerleon
2 : 0 Brymbo
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Connahs Q. 0
Guilsfield 2
Nefyn United 1
Caernarfon 3
Aberystwyth 3
Neath Athletic 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor City 3
Newport YMCA 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangefni 3
Mynydd Isa 0
Bryntirion Athletic 4
Dinas Powys 2
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Welshpool 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Aberdare Town 3
Caerau Ely 1
Newtown 2
Maesteg Park 1
Llanrug 3
Llanelli 5
Haverfordwest 3
Ton Pentre 0
Rhyl 1
Port Talbot 0
Queens Park 3
Afan Lido 1
Caerleon 2
Brymbo 0
1/8-finals
Guilsfield 1
Caernarfon 0
Aberystwyth 0
Bangor City 1
Newport YMCA 2
Llangefni 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Welshpool 2
Cefn Druids 1
Aberdare Town 0
Newtown 1
Llanelli 2
Haverfordwest 1
Rhyl 2
Queens Park 2
Caerleon 0
Quarter-finals
Guilsfield 0
Bangor City 6
Newport YMCA 3
Welshpool 2
Cefn Druids 3
Llanelli 6
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 2
Semi-finals
Bangor City 3
Newport YMCA 1
Llanelli 5
Rhyl 2
Final
Bangor City 4
Llanelli 2
