Sport Picks
Caernarfon vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier The Oval, Caernarfon 
Kamphendelser
5'
5'
Clarke Z.
19'
19'
Mehew T.
32'
32'
Marriott Ch.
Kampsammendrag
Penybont in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penybont.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
80%
11%
9%
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Caernarfon
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
93%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Caernarfon have won more games recently than Penybont.
- Win probability leans Caernarfon's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 70%
Over 4.5 Mål 32%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 69%
Caernarfon Rent bur 13%
Penybont Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Caernarfon | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 29 | 28 |
| Seire | 14 | 11 |
| Uavgjort | 5 | 7 |
| Tap | 10 | 10 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.07 | 1.14 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
7. aug. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Penybont
1:2
18. apr. 2026 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Penybont
2:0
24. jan. 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Caernarfon
0:0
25. okt. 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Caernarfon
0:2
20. sep. 2025 Cymru Premier
Caernarfon vs Penybont
1:2
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Caernarfon Sammenlign
Toppscorer Clarke Z.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.78
Snitt xA / kamp 1.16
Penybont Sammenlign
Toppscorer Mehew T.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.54
Snitt xA / kamp 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Caernarfon 75 / 100
Penybont 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Caernarfon Penybont
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Caernarfon Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Caernarfon found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Penybont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Caernarfon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Caernarfon VS Penybont
3.63 Mål scoret 2.13
1.25 Mål sluppet inn 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caernarfon
(Home) 03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Caernarfon
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Llandudno FC
1 : 1 Caernarfon
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Flint Town
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Penybont
(Away) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1 Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
