Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Lobos ULMX

Vårt Tips

Sammendrag Seier Mål Form H2H Taktikk Spillere Indekser Tips Kampforløp Varmekart Risiko Presisjon Sammenlign

Kampsammendrag

This Liga Premier Serie A encounter between Calor De San Pedro and Lobos ULMX promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Calor De San Pedro averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Lobos ULMX shows a form average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Calor De San Pedro, 0 wins for Lobos ULMX, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 12.04.26 ended in a 4:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Calor De San Pedro and 0.88 for Lobos ULMX, suggesting the primary value lies in the Calor De San Pedro double chance or over markets.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

43%

Calor De San Pedro

25%

Uavgjort

32%

Lobos ULMX

Uavgjort-prognose: 25% Favoritt: Calor De San Pedro

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

74% / Middels Sikkerhet

Calor De San Pedro har tatt flere poeng i det siste sammenlignet med Lobos ULMX.
Modellen forventer høyere målfarlighet for vertene (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
Historikken viser en tydelig fordel for hjemmelaget.
Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%

Over 1.5 Mål 65%

Over 2.5 Mål 44%

Over 3.5 Mål 26%

Over 4.5 Mål 13%

Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 53%

Calor De San Pedro Rent bur 25%

Lobos ULMX Rent bur 13%

Mål 1. omgang 59%

Mål 2. omgang 62%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk	Calor De San Pedro	Lobos ULMX
Kamper Spilt	30	30
Seire	13	12
Uavgjort	7	8
Tap	10	10
Mål Scoret	1.3	1.27
Mål Sluppet Inn	1.03	1.1
Forventede Mål (xG)	1.25	1.25
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA)	0.50	1.00

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

12.04.26 Liga Premier Serie A

Calor De San Pedro vs Lobos ULMX

Ballbesittelse: 49% - 59% Kort: 3 - 2

4:1

23.11.25 Liga Premier Serie A

Lobos ULMX vs Calor De San Pedro

Ballbesittelse: 48% - 46% Kort: 0 - 2

2:3

Taktisk Profil

Posisjonering og Kontrollstil

Calor De San Pedro

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Spill gjennom midten

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Lobos ULMX

Pressintensitet Medium blokk

Angrepsstil Hurtige kontringer

Flügelspill-Frekvens Mye innlegg

Forsvarsoppstilling Ligge dypt

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Calor De San Pedro Sammenlign

Toppscorer Lozano A.

2 Mål

Assister Perez A.

1 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 0.96

Snitt xA / kamp 0.63

Lobos ULMX Sammenlign

Toppscorer Aceves E.

1 Mål

Assister N/A

0 Ast

Snitt xG / kamp 1.14

Snitt xA / kamp 0.69

Skadesituasjon

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Calor De San Pedro 44 / 100

Lobos ULMX 31 / 100

Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

Calor De San Pedro Lobos ULMX

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Double Chance: Calor De San Pedro or Draw (1X)

Sekundærtips Under 3.5 Goals

Halvtidstips Home Win (HT)

BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)

Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Value Bet Finder (+EV)

Spill med statistisk verdi mot bookmakerne

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Erventet verdi. Positiv edge betyr at bookmakerne priser spillet for lavt.

Erventet Kampforløp

Dominanskurver i 15-minutters bolker

0' - 15' Dominansindeks

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Calor De San Pedro 47%

Lobos ULMX 26%

15' - 30' Dominansindeks

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Calor De San Pedro 41%

Lobos ULMX 34%

30' - 45' Dominansindeks

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Calor De San Pedro 43%

Lobos ULMX 32%

45' - 60' Dominansindeks

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Calor De San Pedro 45%

Lobos ULMX 30%

60' - 75' Dominansindeks

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Calor De San Pedro 39%

Lobos ULMX 35%

75' - 90' Dominansindeks

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Calor De San Pedro 49%

Lobos ULMX 37%

Angreps-Heatmaps & Skudd

Varmekart generert fra sone-statistikk

Calor De San Pedro angriper → ← angriper Lobos ULMX

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Calor De San Pedro have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Lobos ULMX have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Calor De San Pedro remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Lobos ULMX suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.

Risikoanalyse

Analyse av mulige forstyrrelser og ytre omstendigheter

Risikonivå: Moderat

Risikofaktor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risikofaktor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risikofaktor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Teamvergleich

Statistikk-sammenligning

46 Poeng siste 5 44

1.25 Forventede mål (xG) 1.25

0.50 Forventede mål sluppet inn (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17