Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caracas vs Independiente

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

7'
La Mantia F.
21'
Palma L.
35'
Mago L.

Kampsammendrag

Caracas in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

42%
Caracas
20%
Uavgjort
38%
Independiente
Uavgjort-prognose: 20% Favoritt: Caracas

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

67% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Caracas.
  • Caracas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Sterke forsvar taler for en kontrollert og målfattig kamp.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 38%
Over 3.5 Mål 22%
Over 4.5 Mål 10%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 76.6%
Caracas Rent bur 20%
Independiente Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Caracas Independiente
Kamper Spilt 24 29
Seire 6 9
Uavgjort 10 3
Tap 8 17
Mål Scoret 0.5 0.88
Mål Sluppet Inn 0.75 1.88
Forventede Mål (xG) 0.50 0.88
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

5. mai 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Independiente vs Caracas
2:3
15. apr. 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Caracas vs Independiente
1:0

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Caracas Sammenlign

Toppscorer Correa W.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 0.38
Snitt xA / kamp 0.25

Independiente Sammenlign

Snitt xG / kamp 0.8
Snitt xA / kamp 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Caracas 42 / 100
Independiente 37 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Caracas Independiente

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Draw (X)
Sekundærtips Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Under 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Defensive concern: Independiente conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Independiente registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Caracas's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Måltrender

Caracas VS Independiente
0.5 Mål scoret 0.88
0.75 Mål sluppet inn 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Caracas

(Home)
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3
Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
24 Jun
Caracas
1 : 1
Aragua
27 May
Caracas
1 : 3
Botafogo RJ
22 May
Racing Club
2 : 2
Caracas
Page 1 of 5

Independiente

(Away)
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Real Potosi
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1
Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Independiente
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)