Sport Picks
Cardiff vs Northampton
England
League One 2025/2026 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff 
Kamphendelser
9'
9'
Tanner O.
Assist: Willock C.
19'
19'
Colwill J.
Assist: Colwill R.
37'
37'
Robinson C.
Kampsammendrag
The League One 2025/2026 game between Cardiff and Northampton finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
90%
6%
4%
Uavgjort-prognose: 6% Favoritt: Cardiff
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
95%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Northampton haven't matched Cardiff's recent run of results.
- Model gives Cardiff a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 56.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 25%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 36%
Cardiff Rent bur 68%
Northampton Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Cardiff | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 30 | 28 |
| Seire | 17 | 4 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 4 |
| Tap | 5 | 20 |
| Mål Scoret | 2.75 | 0.75 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.88 | 2.5 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 2.75 | 0.75 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
25. apr. 2026 League One
Cardiff vs Northampton
5:1
22. nov. 2025 League One
Northampton vs Cardiff
1:3
5. sep. 2020 EFL Cup
Northampton vs Cardiff
3:0
14. aug. 2012 EFL Cup
Northampton vs Cardiff
2:1
4. feb. 2003 League One
Northampton vs Cardiff
0:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Cardiff Sammenlign
Toppscorer Tanner O.
2 Mål Assister Colwill J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 2.12
Snitt xA / kamp 1.38
Northampton Sammenlign
Toppscorer Evans J.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 0.68
Snitt xA / kamp 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Cardiff 95 / 100
Northampton 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Cardiff Northampton
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips CAR Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Prognose No (NG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Cardiff scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Cardiff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Cardiff VS Northampton
2.75 Mål scoret 0.75
1.88 Mål sluppet inn 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cardiff
(Home) 25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5 Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6 Cardiff
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Cardiff
0 : 6 Midtjylland
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
22 Apr
Cardiff
1 : 0 Port Vale
11 Apr
Cardiff
2 : 0 Bolton
21 Mar
Cardiff
0 : 0 Blackpool
Page 1 of 3
Northampton
(Away) 22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0 Northampton
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0 Northampton
25 Apr
Cardiff
5 : 1 Northampton
15 Apr
Luton
2 : 1 Northampton
03 Apr
Bradford City
1 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
