Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff vs Swindon

England England

EFL Cup Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Vårt Tips

Kamphendelser

9' Event
Osho G.
Own Goal
29' Event
Salech Y.
(Straffe)
43' Event
Salech Y.
Assist: Ashford C.

Kampsammendrag

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

80%
Cardiff
11%
Uavgjort
9%
Swindon
Uavgjort-prognose: 11% Favoritt: Cardiff

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

93% / Svært Høy Sikkerhet
  • Swindon haven't matched Cardiff's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Cardiff have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cardiff, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Cardiff here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 98%
Over 1.5 Mål 87.5%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 69%
Over 4.5 Mål 31%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 77.4%
Cardiff Rent bur 10%
Swindon Rent bur 10%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Cardiff Swindon
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 15 11
Uavgjort 8 6
Tap 5 11
Mål Scoret 2.39 1.5
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.36 1.5
Forventede Mål (xG) 2.56 1.94
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

8. aug. 2026 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Swindon
3:2
12. aug. 2025 EFL Cup
Cardiff vs Swindon
2:1
23. juli 2022 Club Friendly
Swindon vs Cardiff
2:4
1. jan. 2003 League One
Cardiff vs Swindon
1:1
24. aug. 2002 League One
Swindon vs Cardiff
0:1

Nøkkelspiller-Analyse

Toppspillere og forventet involvering

Cardiff Sammenlign

Toppscorer Salech Y.
1 Mål
Assister Moylan J.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.97
Snitt xA / kamp 1.28

Swindon Sammenlign

Toppscorer Glatzel P.
1 Mål
Snitt xG / kamp 1.76
Snitt xA / kamp 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Cardiff 74 / 100
Swindon 10 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Cardiff Swindon

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Cardiff Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Cardiff found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Cardiff stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Swindon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Måltrender

Cardiff VS Swindon
3.5 Mål scoret 1.63
2.25 Mål sluppet inn 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff

(Home)
17 Aug
Cardiff
1 : 1
Wrexham
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1
AS Roma
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
14 Jul
Cork City
1 : 6
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -