Sport Picks
Carlisle vs Hornchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Brunton Park, Carlisle 
Kamphendelser
12'
12'
Bytte
Baldwin J. Inn: Greenidge W.
Ut: Baldwin J.
29'
29'
Azeez M.
46'
46'
Bunker H.
Assist: Ellis J.
Kampsammendrag
The National League game between Carlisle and Hornchurch finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlisle.
Seierssannsynlighet
Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form
60%
22%
18%
Uavgjort-prognose: 22% Favoritt: Carlisle
Modellens Sikkerhet
Aggregert sikkerhetsskår
82%
/ Svært Høy Sikkerhet
- Carlisle haven't matched Hornchurch's recent run of results.
- Carlisle are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).
Målsannsynlighet
Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie
Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 19%
Over 4.5 Mål 9%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 72.2%
Carlisle Rent bur 20%
Hornchurch Rent bur 10%
Siste Formanalyse
Snitt per kamp
| Metrikk | Carlisle | Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Kamper Spilt | 28 | 29 |
| Seire | 13 | 16 |
| Uavgjort | 8 | 4 |
| Tap | 7 | 9 |
| Mål Scoret | 1.93 | 1.62 |
| Mål Sluppet Inn | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| Forventede Mål (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder
22. aug. 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Hornchurch
4:1
Nøkkelspiller-Analyse
Toppspillere og forventet involvering
Carlisle Sammenlign
Toppscorer Bunker H.
2 Mål Assister Azeez M.
1 Ast
Snitt xG / kamp 1.11
Snitt xA / kamp 0.72
Hornchurch Sammenlign
Toppscorer Kizzi J.
1 Mål Snitt xG / kamp 1.03
Snitt xA / kamp 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks
Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)
Carlisle 58 / 100
Hornchurch 18 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).
Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke
Carlisle Hornchurch
Modell-Prognose
Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder
Hovedtips Carlisle Win (1)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5
Smart Innsikt
Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet
Carlisle's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Hornchurch conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Carlisle went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Måltrender
Carlisle VS Hornchurch
1.38 Mål scoret 0.75
1.5 Mål sluppet inn 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Carlisle
(Home) 10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0 Kidderminster
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0 Kidderminster
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5 Woking
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 3
Hornchurch
(Away) 10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
06 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Fulham U21
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
15 Sept
Worthing FC
1 : 0 Hornchurch
12 Sept
Halifax
3 : 0 Hornchurch
31 Aug
Boston United
2 : 3 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:18 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15:19 | 21 |
| 10 | Halifax | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:30 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:35 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8:31 | 4 |
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